RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense Prediction and Betting Tips
Brasileirao · Thursday 29 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-26
RB Bragantino welcome Chapecoense to Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid in Bragança Paulista in Brasileirao action on Thursday 29 October 2026.
RB Bragantino have played 32 matches in Brasileirao this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 34% of them. At home they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 15 matches, with a 64% win rate. Chapecoense have played 31 matches in Brasileirao this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 13% of them. Away from home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 16 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, RB Bragantino are clear favourites at 70%, with the draw at 17% and Chapecoense at 12%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.7% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is RB Bragantino -1.75 at 1.95, Chapecoense at 1.78. The main goals line is 3.25: over 1.93, under 1.78, which gives over 48%.
RB Bragantino: form and key numbers
In style RB Bragantino play long and direct, cross a lot, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.46 a match created, 1.85 conceded (goals minus xG: -7.9).
- Shots: 16.8 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 49.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (63% at home).
- Both teams scored in 53% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match, 5.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.84.
Chapecoense: form and key numbers
In style Chapecoense are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.11 a match created, 1.75 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.3).
- Shots: 12.6 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 42.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 6% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 65% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense: season averages side by side
| RB Bragantino | Per match | Chapecoense |
|---|---|---|
| 1.46 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.11 |
| 1.85 | xG conceded | 1.75 |
| 1.22 | Goals | 1.03 |
| 16.8 | Shots | 12.6 |
| 5.3 | Shots on target | 3.5 |
| 1.6 | Big chances missed | 1.1 |
| 54.0 | Pressure share % | 36.3 |
| 14.9 | Tackles | 13.0 |
| 13.4 | Fouls | 13.4 |
| 2.7 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 32 and 31 measured matches.
RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- RB Bragantino have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of the last 1 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: RB Bragantino 2, Chapecoense 1 - 3.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Chapecoense 1-2 RB Bragantino (May 3rd 2026).
Head to head
In their last 1 meetings RB Bragantino won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 May 2026 | Chapecoense | 1 – 2 | RB Bragantino |
Players to watch
RB Bragantino
- Ryan Augusto Tavares da Silva RWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 71 · Chance creator, Dribbler (top 5% of his position)
- Tiago Volpi GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 65 · Long passer, Secure passer (top 12% of his position)
Chapecoense
- Rafael Santos GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 63 · Shot-stopper, Secure passer (top 13% of his position)
- Bruno Pacheco LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 59 · Crosser, Dribbler (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Henry Mosquera
Henry Mosquera, 24 · Bragantino · LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 65
Henry Mosquera, 24, plays as a winger for Bragantino in the Brasileirão. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and key passes. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 65
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 62
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 61
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 5.72 / 90 | 100% |
| Key passes | 2.66 / 90 | 90% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.29 / 90 | 85% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.09 / 90 | 79% |
| Shots | 2.86 / 90 | 72% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Chance creator, Creator.
- What Henry Mosquera is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Henry Mosquera's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense prediction
RB Bragantino should have more of the ball, with Chapecoense likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 2.00 for RB Bragantino and 1.11 for Chapecoense - with over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 59%. RB Bragantino have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: RB Bragantino 2-1 Chapecoense
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense betting tips
- Tip 1: RB Bragantino to win 70% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 60% by the model, 3.11 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 12.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 10.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense in the Match Centre Follow it live
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RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense: questions and answers
When is RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense?
RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense is on Thursday 29 October 2026, in Brasileirao.
Where is RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense played?
At Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, RB Bragantino's home ground.
Who will win RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense?
RB Bragantino are the favourites: RB Bragantino 70%, draw 17%, Chapecoense 12%. Our prediction is RB Bragantino 2-1 Chapecoense.
Who is the player to watch in RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense?
Henry Mosquera of Bragantino: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 65 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in RB Bragantino vs Chapecoense?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Tags
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