Coventry City vs Sunderland Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 9
Premier League · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 15:00 UTC · The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry · updated 2026-10-17
Coventry City welcome Sunderland to The Coventry Building Society Arena in Coventry in Premier League Gameweek 9 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Coventry City have played 6 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate. Sunderland have played 6 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 17% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Coventry City 35%, the draw 27%, Sunderland 38%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Coventry City 1.39, Sunderland 1.45.
- Over 2.5 goals: 54% · both teams to score: 58%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (13%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Coventry City: form and key numbers
In style Coventry City are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 0.98 a match created, 1.79 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.9).
- Shots: 10.0 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 38.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 17% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.7 a match.
- Discipline: 0.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.68.
Sunderland: form and key numbers
In style Sunderland play long and direct, are strong in the air, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.71 a match created, 1.50 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.3).
- Shots: 13.0 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 50.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Coventry City vs Sunderland: season averages side by side
| Coventry City | Per match this season | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 6 |
| 0.8 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 1.8 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 0.98 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.71 |
| 1.79 | xG conceded | 1.50 |
| 10.0 | Shots | 13.0 |
| 3.7 | On target | 4.7 |
| 38.2 | Possession % | 50.7 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 17% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 3.7 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 0.8 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.68 | Average rating | 6.76 |
Players to watch
Coventry City
- Bobby Thomas CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 56 · Box defender, Blocks shots (top 1% of his position)
- Jay Dasilva LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 52 · Dribbler, Hard to dribble past (top 4% of his position)
Sunderland
- Trai Hume RB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 63 · Creator, Ball-winner (top 4% of his position)
- Granit Xhaka DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 62 · Long passer, Hard to dribble past (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Brian Brobbey
Brian Brobbey, 24 · Sunderland · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 73
Brian Brobbey, 24, plays as a centre-forward for Sunderland in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and expected goals. Weakest in shots. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 73
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.27 xG/shot | 97% |
| Expected goals | 0.66 / 90 | 83% |
| Big chances missed | 0.22 / 90 | 78% |
| Aerial duels won | 2.92 / 90 | 77% |
| Goals | 0.67 / 90 | 76% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★½ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions.
- What Brian Brobbey is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Brian Brobbey's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Coventry City vs Sunderland prediction
Sunderland should have more of the ball, with Coventry City likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.39 for Coventry City and 1.45 for Sunderland - with over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 58%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Coventry City 1-1 Sunderland
Coventry City vs Sunderland betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 38%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.83 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (54%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 58% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 8.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Premier League previews
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- Aston Villa vs Manchester City Saturday 24 October 2026
- Coventry City vs Fulham Saturday 24 October 2026
- Arsenal vs Everton Saturday 24 October 2026
- Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Saturday 24 October 2026
- Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth Sunday 25 October 2026
- Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion Sunday 25 October 2026
- Hull City vs Brentford Sunday 25 October 2026
Coventry City vs Sunderland: questions and answers
When is Coventry City vs Sunderland?
Coventry City vs Sunderland is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Premier League Gameweek 9.
Where is Coventry City vs Sunderland played?
At The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, Coventry City's home ground.
Who will win Coventry City vs Sunderland?
It is close: Coventry City 35%, draw 27%, Sunderland 38%. Our prediction is Coventry City 1-1 Sunderland.
Who is the player to watch in Coventry City vs Sunderland?
Brian Brobbey of Sunderland: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 73 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Coventry City vs Sunderland?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.