Egnatia vs Midtjylland Prediction and Betting Tips | UEFA Conference League Gameweek 1
UEFA Conference League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Egnatia welcome Midtjylland to Stadiumi Hasan Zyla in Rrogozhinë in UEFA Conference League Gameweek 1 action on Thursday 15 October 2026.
Egnatia have played 4 matches in UEFA Conference League this season, scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 4.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 100% win rate. Midtjylland have played 4 matches in UEFA Conference League this season, scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 100% of them. Away from home they average 3.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Midtjylland are clear favourites at 60%, with the draw at 23% and Egnatia at 16%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.6% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Egnatia +1 at 1.88, Midtjylland at 1.81. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.94, under 1.72, which gives over 47%.
Egnatia: form and key numbers
- Shots: 9.5 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 47.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.33.
Midtjylland: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.92 a match created (goals minus xG: +3.3).
- Shots: 14.8 a match, 7.8 on target.
- Possession: 60.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.01.
Egnatia vs Midtjylland: season averages side by side
| Egnatia | Per match | Midtjylland |
|---|---|---|
| 1.18 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.92 |
| 3.00 | Goals | 2.75 |
| 9.5 | Shots | 14.8 |
| 5.3 | Shots on target | 7.8 |
| – | Big chances missed | 1.5 |
| – | Tackles | 17.8 |
| 13.0 | Fouls | 17.0 |
| 2.5 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 4 and 4 measured matches.
Egnatia vs Midtjylland prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals - 1.86 for Egnatia and 1.92 for Midtjylland - with over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 73%. Midtjylland have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Egnatia 1-2 Midtjylland
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Egnatia vs Midtjylland betting tips
- Tip 1: Midtjylland to win 60% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 73% by the model, 3.78 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 73% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 12.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. This match is one of the free picks of its schedule.
Open Egnatia vs Midtjylland in the Match Centre Follow it live
More UEFA Conference League previews
- Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe Thursday 15 October 2026
- CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco Thursday 15 October 2026
- Hajduk Split vs Ajax Thursday 15 October 2026
- KAA Gent vs AGF Aarhus Thursday 15 October 2026
- KuPS vs Trabzonspor Thursday 15 October 2026
- Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda Thursday 15 October 2026
Egnatia vs Midtjylland: questions and answers
When is Egnatia vs Midtjylland?
Egnatia vs Midtjylland is on Thursday 15 October 2026, in UEFA Conference League Gameweek 1.
Where is Egnatia vs Midtjylland played?
At Stadiumi Hasan Zyla, Rrogozhinë, Egnatia's home ground.
Who will win Egnatia vs Midtjylland?
Midtjylland are the favourites: Egnatia 16%, draw 23%, Midtjylland 60%. Our prediction is Egnatia 1-2 Midtjylland.
How many goals will there be in Egnatia vs Midtjylland?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 73%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.