Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe: Prediction, Stats and Preview
Europa Conference League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova), Craiova · updated 2026-10-09
Universitatea Craiova host Getafe in the Europa Conference League on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova). On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes Universitatea Craiova favourites at 56%, puts the draw at 27% and expects about 2.3 goals.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Universitatea Craiova 1.58, Getafe 0.76.
- Over 2.5 goals: 42% · both teams to score: 43%.
- Most likely score: 1–0 (14%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
The difference-maker: Zaid Romero
Zaid Romero, 26 · Getafe · CB · Stopper
Moneyball Scout picks Zaid Romero as the player most likely to decide this match, with a Moneyball Score of 49 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues (attacking 32, defensive 54).
- Interceptions: 2.26 per 90 minutes, better than 95% of centre-backs
- Long balls: 3.66 per 90 minutes, better than 81% of centre-backs
- Duels won: 5.22 per 90 minutes, better than 75% of centre-backs
Universitatea Craiova score 1.8 goals a match this season: stopping them runs through Zaid Romero.
Scout's notes: Reads the game, Long passer.
What he is worth on the market, how many league points he would add to another club and who could replace him: Moneyball Scouting Players Research.
Season statistics
| Universitatea Craiova | Per match this season | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 7 |
| 1.8 | Goals scored | 0.6 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| – | Expected goals (xG) | 0.92 |
| – | xG conceded | 1.37 |
| 12.5 | Shots | 11.7 |
| 6.3 | On target | 2.7 |
| 54.8 | Possession % | 40.3 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 29% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 29% |
| 6.5 | Corners | 4.0 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 3.3 |
| 6.42 | Average rating | 6.73 |
Averages per match from Sportmonks; Universitatea Craiova in its domestic league; Getafe in its domestic league.
Players to watch
Getafe
- Ramón Terrats midfielder · rating 7.38 · 6 apps
- David Soria goalkeeper · rating 7.18 · 7 apps
- Iván Azón midfielder · rating 6.97 · 4 apps
The best-rated players of each side this season, with 180 minutes or more.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Europa Conference League previews
- CSKA Sofia vs Monaco Thursday 15 October 2026
- Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka Thursday 15 October 2026
- Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes Thursday 15 October 2026
- KuPS vs Trabzonspor Thursday 15 October 2026
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland Thursday 15 October 2026
- Gent vs AGF Thursday 15 October 2026
- Hajduk Split vs Ajax Thursday 15 October 2026
- Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda Thursday 15 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.