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KuPS vs Trabzonspor: Prediction, Stats and Preview

KuPS host Trabzonspor in the Europa Conference League on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Savon Sanomat Areena. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes KuPS favourites at 52%, puts the draw at 26% and expects about 2.7 goals.

Moneyball's estimate

KuPS52%fair odds 1.92
Draw26%fair odds 3.87
Trabzonspor22%fair odds 4.51

From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 2 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.

Season statistics

KuPSPer match this seasonTrabzonspor
4Matches2
1.0Goals scored0.0
1.5Goals conceded2.5
–Expected goals (xG)0.93
8.8Shots15.0
3.3On target2.5
49.5Possession %49.0
25%Clean sheets %0%
25%Both teams scored %0%
6.0Corners5.5
2.5Yellow cards1.5
6.34Average rating6.82

Averages per match from Sportmonks; KuPS in its domestic league; Trabzonspor in its domestic league.

The full analysis

Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.