Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen Prediction and Betting Tips | UEFA Europa League Gameweek 2
UEFA Europa League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Ferencvaros welcome Viktoria Plzen to Groupama Aréna in Budapest in UEFA Europa League Gameweek 2 action on Thursday 15 October 2026.
Ferencvaros have played 9 matches in UEFA Europa League this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 0.7 goals a game and winning 78% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 43% win rate. Viktoria Plzen have played 3 matches in UEFA Europa League this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 0% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Ferencvaros are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 27% and Viktoria Plzen at 27%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Ferencvaros -0.25 at 1.72, Viktoria Plzen at 2.19. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.86, under 2.00, which gives over 52%.
Ferencvaros: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.10 a match created (goals minus xG: +9.1).
- Shots: 10.7 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 46.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 44% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Viktoria Plzen: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 2.48 a match created (goals minus xG: -2.5).
- Shots: 20.3 a match, 7.3 on target.
- Possession: 51.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.63.
Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen: season averages side by side
| Ferencvaros | Per match | Viktoria Plzen |
|---|---|---|
| 1.10 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.48 |
| 2.11 | Goals | 1.67 |
| 10.7 | Shots | 20.3 |
| 3.7 | Shots on target | 7.3 |
| 2.0 | Big chances missed | 2.7 |
| 11.4 | Tackles | 6.0 |
| 12.9 | Fouls | 16.3 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 9 and 3 measured matches.
Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Ferencvaros have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of the last 3 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Ferencvaros 2, Viktoria Plzen 4 - 2.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Ferencvaros 1-1 Viktoria Plzen (September 25th 2025).
Head to head
In their last 3 meetings Ferencvaros won 1, drew 1 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2025 | Ferencvaros | 1 – 1 | Viktoria Plzen |
| 20 Feb 2025 | Viktoria Plzen | 3 – 0 | Ferencvaros |
| 13 Feb 2025 | Ferencvaros | 1 – 0 | Viktoria Plzen |
Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 2.20 for Ferencvaros and 0.98 for Viktoria Plzen - with over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 56%. Ferencvaros have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Ferencvaros 2-0 Viktoria Plzen
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen betting tips
- Tip 1: Ferencvaros win or draw (double chance) 73% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 62% by the model, 3.18 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 56% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 10.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen: questions and answers
When is Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen?
Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen is on Thursday 15 October 2026, in UEFA Europa League Gameweek 2.
Where is Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen played?
At Groupama Aréna, Budapest, Ferencvaros's home ground.
Who will win Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen?
Ferencvaros are the favourites: Ferencvaros 45%, draw 27%, Viktoria Plzen 27%. Our prediction is Ferencvaros 2-0 Viktoria Plzen.
How many goals will there be in Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.