Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 15
Liga Profesional Argentina · Tuesday 3 November 2026 · 00:15 UTC · Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza · updated 2026-10-25
Independiente Rivadavia welcome Banfield to Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini in Mendoza in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 15 action on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 00:15 UTC.
Independiente Rivadavia have played 30 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 2.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 16 matches, with a 67% win rate. Banfield have played 30 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 27% of them. Away from home they average 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 15 matches, with a 38% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Independiente Rivadavia are clear favourites at 61%, with the draw at 21% and Banfield at 18%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Independiente Rivadavia 2.15, Banfield 1.10.
- Over 2.5 goals: 63% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (30 and 30 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Independiente Rivadavia: form and key numbers
In style Independiente Rivadavia play long and direct, cross a lot, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.39 a match created, 1.12 conceded (goals minus xG: +5.3).
- Shots: 14.3 a match, 5.1 on target.
- Possession: 48.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 23% of matches (14% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.82.
Banfield: form and key numbers
In style Banfield are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.13 a match created, 1.74 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.9).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 3.6 on target.
- Possession: 39.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 57% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield: season averages side by side
| Independiente Rivadavia | Per match this season | Banfield |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Matches | 30 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 1.1 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 1.39 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.13 |
| 1.12 | xG conceded | 1.74 |
| 14.3 | Shots | 12.3 |
| 5.1 | On target | 3.6 |
| 48.2 | Possession % | 39.9 |
| 23% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 57% |
| 4.2 | Corners | 3.6 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
| 6.82 | Average rating | 6.80 |
Players to watch
Independiente Rivadavia
- Luis Sequeira AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 56 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 13% of his position)
- Matías Reali RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 47 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 1% of his position)
Banfield
- Santiago Daniele CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 55 · Hard to dribble past, Ball-winner (top 2% of his position)
- David Zalazar LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 51 · Crosser, Big-chance creator (top 4% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Álex Arce
Álex Arce, 31 · Independiente Rivadavia · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 61
Álex Arce, 31, plays as a centre-forward for Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentine Liga Profesional. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in shots. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 61
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 53
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 6.13 / 90 | 98% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 xG/shot | 94% |
| Duels won | 8.64 / 90 | 91% |
| Expected goals | 0.60 / 90 | 65% |
| Shots on target | 44% | 56% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★½ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Takes high-quality shots, Duel winner.
- What Álex Arce is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield prediction
Independiente Rivadavia should have more of the ball, with Banfield likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Independiente Rivadavia are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Banfield go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 2.15 for Independiente Rivadavia and 1.10 for Banfield - with over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 59%. Independiente Rivadavia have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 Banfield
Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield betting tips
- Tip 1: Independiente Rivadavia to win 61% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 63% by the model, 3.25 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 9.6 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 7.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Liga Profesional Argentina previews
- Aldosivi vs Belgrano Sunday 25 October 2026
- Independiente vs Boca Juniors Sunday 25 October 2026
- River Plate vs Racing Club Sunday 25 October 2026
- Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Monday 26 October 2026
- Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield Monday 26 October 2026
- Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes Monday 26 October 2026
- Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia Tuesday 27 October 2026
Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield: questions and answers
When is Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?
Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield is on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 00:15 UTC, in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 15.
Where is Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield played?
At Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza, Independiente Rivadavia's home ground.
Who will win Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?
Independiente Rivadavia are the favourites: Independiente Rivadavia 61%, draw 21%, Banfield 18%. Our prediction is Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 Banfield.
Who is the player to watch in Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?
Álex Arce of Independiente Rivadavia: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 61 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 63%.
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