Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 16
Liga Profesional Argentina · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, Ciudad de Córdoba · updated 2026-10-25
Instituto welcome Newell's Old Boys to Estadio Juan Domingo Perón in Ciudad de Córdoba in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 16 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
Instituto have played 29 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 52% of them. At home they average 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded over 14 matches, with a 60% win rate. Newell's Old Boys have played 30 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 27% of them. Away from home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 15 matches, with a 38% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Instituto are narrow favourites at 55%, with the draw at 28% and Newell's Old Boys at 18%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Instituto 1.48, Newell's Old Boys 0.73.
- Over 2.5 goals: 38% · both teams to score: 41%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (29 and 30 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Instituto: form and key numbers
In style Instituto press high, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.37 a match created, 0.80 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.8).
- Shots: 13.4 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 47.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 34% of matches (40% at home).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.82.
Newell's Old Boys: form and key numbers
In style Newell's Old Boys play long and direct, are strong in the air, take players on.
- Expected goals: 0.97 a match created, 1.02 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.2).
- Shots: 10.4 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 46.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (38% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys: season averages side by side
| Instituto | Per match this season | Newell's Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Matches | 30 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 0.9 |
| 0.9 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 1.37 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.97 |
| 0.80 | xG conceded | 1.02 |
| 13.4 | Shots | 10.4 |
| 4.4 | On target | 3.4 |
| 47.5 | Possession % | 46.4 |
| 34% | Clean sheets % | 27% |
| 45% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 5.2 | Corners | 3.9 |
| 2.8 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
| 6.82 | Average rating | 6.77 |
Players to watch
Instituto
- Jeremías Lázaro AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 53 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 8% of his position)
- Agustín Massaccesi CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 40 · Duel winner, Reads the game (top 25% of his position)
Newell's Old Boys
- Lautaro Giannetti CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 57 · Blocks shots, Dominant in the air (top 10% of his position)
- Oscar Salomón CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 51 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 4% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Armando Méndez
Armando Méndez, 30 · Newell's Old Boys · RB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 51
Armando Méndez, 30, plays as a full-back for Newell's Old Boys in the Argentine Liga Profesional. Strongest for his role in tackles and duels won. Weakest in pass accuracy. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RB · Full-back Natural, 51
- RWB · Wing-back Accomplished, 40
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Tackles | 3.98 / 90 | 98% |
| Duels won | 7.34 / 90 | 91% |
| Successful dribbles | 0.76 / 90 | 69% |
| Accurate crosses | 0.61 / 90 | 67% |
| Key passes | 0.92 / 90 | 54% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Defensive full-back Full-back
- ★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★½ Complete wing-back Wing-back
Scout's notes: Ball-winner, Duel winner.
- What Armando Méndez is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Armando Méndez's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys prediction
Instituto should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.2 goals - 1.48 for Instituto and 0.73 for Newell's Old Boys - with over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams scoring at 41%. Instituto have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Instituto 2-0 Newell's Old Boys
Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys betting tips
- Tip 1: Instituto win or draw (double chance) 82% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 62% by the model, 2.21 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: no 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 10.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Liga Profesional Argentina previews
- Aldosivi vs Belgrano Sunday 25 October 2026
- Independiente vs Boca Juniors Sunday 25 October 2026
- River Plate vs Racing Club Sunday 25 October 2026
- Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Monday 26 October 2026
- Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield Monday 26 October 2026
- Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes Monday 26 October 2026
- Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia Tuesday 27 October 2026
Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys: questions and answers
When is Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys?
Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 16.
Where is Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys played?
At Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, Ciudad de Córdoba, Instituto's home ground.
Who will win Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys?
Instituto are the favourites: Instituto 55%, draw 28%, Newell's Old Boys 18%. Our prediction is Instituto 2-0 Newell's Old Boys.
Who is the player to watch in Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys?
Armando Méndez of Newell's Old Boys: a defensive full-back with a Moneyball Score of 51 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Instituto vs Newell's Old Boys?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 38%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.