Moneyball OddsDixon-Coles · xG fusion
Back to Moneyball Odds

Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest Prediction and Betting Tips

Ipswich Town welcome Nottingham Forest to Portman Road Stadium in Ipswich in Premier League action on Saturday 24 October 2026.

Ipswich Town have played 7 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 43% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 67% win rate. Nottingham Forest have played 6 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 17% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate.

On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, there is little to separate them: Ipswich Town 31%, the draw 28%, Nottingham Forest 42%.

The odds

Ipswich Town2.9431%
Draw3.3028%
Nottingham Forest2.1842%

Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Ipswich Town +0.25 at 1.93, Nottingham Forest at 1.98. The main goals line is 2.75: over 2.02, under 1.86, which gives over 48%.

Ipswich Town: form and key numbers

In style Ipswich Town are happy without the ball.

Nottingham Forest: form and key numbers

In style Nottingham Forest press high, play long and direct, cross a lot.

Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest: season averages side by side

Ipswich TownPer matchNottingham Forest
1.29Expected goals (xG)1.69
1.88xG conceded1.28
1.57Goals0.83
11.0Shots17.7
4.4Shots on target3.8
0.9Big chances missed2.7
41.3Pressure share %57.1
16.6Tackles17.2
11.7Fouls14.2
1.9Yellow cards2.5

Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 7 and 6 measured matches.

Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest: head-to-head stats and key numbers

Head to head

In their last 2 meetings Ipswich Town won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

DateHomeScoreAway
15 Mar 2025Ipswich Town2 – 4Nottingham Forest
30 Nov 2024Nottingham Forest1 – 0Ipswich Town

Players to watch

Ipswich Town

Nottingham Forest

Scouting spotlight: Morgan Gibbs-White

Morgan Gibbs-White, 26 · Nottingham Forest · AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 64

Morgan Gibbs-White, 26, plays as an attacking midfielder for Nottingham Forest in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and big chances created. Weakest in through balls. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.

Key passes 84Expected assists 96Big chances created 96Expected goals 54Shots 43Successful dribbles 58Through balls 12Fouls won 46Pass accuracy 43Dispossessed 27

Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.

Positions he can play

  • CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 64
  • LW · Winger Accomplished, 61
  • RW · Winger Accomplished, 61

Where he is strongest

FigureHis numberBetter than
Expected assists (est.)0.50 / 9096%
Big chances created1.17 / 9096%
Key passes2.83 / 9084%
Successful dribbles1.17 / 9058%
Expected goals0.23 / 9054%

Roles he suits

  • ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
  • ★★★★½ Link-up forward Second striker
  • ★★★ Playmaker Central midfielder

Scout's notes: Creator, Big-chance creator, Chance creator.

In Moneyball Scout
  • What Morgan Gibbs-White is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
  • How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
  • The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
  • His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age

Open Morgan Gibbs-White's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month

Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest prediction

Nottingham Forest should have more of the ball, with Ipswich Town likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Nottingham Forest are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.49 for Ipswich Town and 1.51 for Nottingham Forest - with over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 61%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.

Prediction: Ipswich Town 1-1 Nottingham Forest

The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre

Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest betting tips

  1. Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 42%
  2. Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 58% by the model, 3.00 goals expected
  3. Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 61% by the model
  4. Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.4 cards a match between them
  5. Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 7.5 corners a match between them

Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Moneyball's pick

The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. This match is one of the free picks of its schedule.

Open Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest in the Match Centre Follow it live

More Premier League previews

Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest: questions and answers

When is Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?

Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest is on Saturday 24 October 2026, in the Premier League.

Where is Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest played?

At Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich, Ipswich Town's home ground.

Who will win Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?

It is close: Ipswich Town 31%, draw 28%, Nottingham Forest 42%. Our prediction is Ipswich Town 1-1 Nottingham Forest.

Who is the player to watch in Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?

Morgan Gibbs-White of Nottingham Forest: a creator with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.

How many goals will there be in Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?

Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.

Tags

Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.