Juventus vs Omonia Nicosia Prediction and Stats | Europa League Gameweek 5
Europa League · Thursday 26 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Juventus Stadium, Torino · updated 2026-11-13
Juventus welcome Omonia Nicosia to Juventus Stadium in Torino in Europa League Gameweek 5 action on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Juventus have played 4 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 75% of them. At home they average 3.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 33% win rate. Omonia Nicosia have played 4 matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Juventus are narrow favourites at 60%, with the draw at 25% and Omonia Nicosia at 16%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Juventus 1.74, Omonia Nicosia 0.78.
- Over 2.5 goals: 46% · both teams to score: 45%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 4 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Juventus: form and key numbers
In style Juventus keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.05 a match created (goals minus xG: +2.8).
- Shots: 14.0 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 49.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.96.
Omonia Nicosia: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.81 a match created (goals minus xG: +5.5).
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 45.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 38% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.74.
Juventus vs Omonia Nicosia: season averages side by side
| Juventus | Per match this season | Omonia Nicosia |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 4 |
| 2.8 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 2.05 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.81 |
| 14.0 | Shots | 11.4 |
| 5.0 | On target | 4.5 |
| 49.8 | Possession % | 45.3 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 38% |
| 75% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 4.0 | Corners | 4.0 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.0 |
| 6.96 | Average rating | 6.74 |
Players to watch
Juventus
- Douglas Luiz CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 68 · Ball circulator, Secure passer (top 7% of his position)
- Francisco Conceição RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 67 · High shot volume, Crosser (top 12% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Nick Woltemade
Nick Woltemade, 24 · Juventus · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 77
Nick Woltemade, 24, plays as a centre-forward for Juventus in Serie A. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and expected goals. Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 77
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 73
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 63
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.23 xG/shot | 97% |
| Expected goals | 0.61 / 90 | 93% |
| Key passes | 0.67 / 90 | 92% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.56 / 90 | 90% |
| Duels won | 7.11 / 90 | 80% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator.
- What Nick Woltemade is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Nick Woltemade's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Juventus vs Omonia Nicosia prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.74 for Juventus and 0.78 for Omonia Nicosia - with over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 45%. Juventus have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Juventus 2-1 Omonia Nicosia
Juventus vs Omonia Nicosia: what the numbers say
- 1. Juventus win, the likeliest result 60% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 54% by the model, 2.52 goals expected
- 3. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 2.8 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 corners or fewer 8.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Juventus vs Omonia Nicosia: questions and answers
When is Juventus vs Omonia Nicosia?
Juventus vs Omonia Nicosia is on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in Europa League Gameweek 5.
Where is Juventus vs Omonia Nicosia played?
At Juventus Stadium, Torino, Juventus's home ground.
Who will win Juventus vs Omonia Nicosia?
Juventus are the favourites: Juventus 60%, draw 25%, Omonia Nicosia 16%. Our prediction is Juventus 2-1 Omonia Nicosia.
Who is the player to watch in Juventus vs Omonia Nicosia?
Nick Woltemade of Juventus: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 77 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Juventus vs Omonia Nicosia?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.