Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 15
Liga Profesional Argentina · Sunday 1 November 2026 · 23:45 UTC · Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús · updated 2026-10-25
Lanús welcome Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza to Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez in Lanús in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 15 action on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 23:45 UTC.
Lanús have played 31 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 42% of them. At home they average 1.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 15 matches, with a 54% win rate. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza have played 30 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 37% of them. Away from home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 15 matches, with a 27% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Lanús are narrow favourites at 56%, with the draw at 26% and Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza at 18%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Lanús 1.65, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 0.84.
- Over 2.5 goals: 45% · both teams to score: 47%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (11%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (31 and 30 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Lanús: form and key numbers
In style Lanús play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.26 a match created, 1.06 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.9).
- Shots: 12.5 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 51.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 45% of matches (57% at home).
- Both teams scored in 35% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: form and key numbers
In style Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza play long and direct, are strong in the air, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.01 a match created, 1.58 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.3).
- Shots: 12.2 a match, 3.8 on target.
- Possession: 46.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 30% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 4.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: season averages side by side
| Lanús | Per match this season | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Matches | 30 |
| 1.1 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 0.9 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 1.26 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.01 |
| 1.06 | xG conceded | 1.58 |
| 12.5 | Shots | 12.2 |
| 4.3 | On target | 3.8 |
| 51.6 | Possession % | 46.6 |
| 45% | Clean sheets % | 30% |
| 35% | Both teams scored % | 40% |
| 4.4 | Corners | 3.7 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
| 6.87 | Average rating | 6.77 |
Players to watch
Lanús
- Marcelino Moreno AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 55 · Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume (top 24% of his position)
- Matías Sepúlveda LMF · Wide playmaker · Moneyball Score 53 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 7% of his position)
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
- César Rigamonti GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 47 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 54% of his position)
- Diego Mondino CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 44 · Disciplined, Reads the game (top 12% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Facundo Lencioni
Facundo Lencioni, 25 · Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 47
Facundo Lencioni, 25, plays as a winger for Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza in the Argentine Liga Profesional. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and key passes. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 47
- LW · Winger Natural, 47
- CM · Central midfielder Accomplished, 41
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.25 / 90 | 85% |
| Key passes | 2.38 / 90 | 76% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.28 / 90 | 75% |
| Big chances created | 0.44 / 90 | 68% |
| Shots | 2.60 / 90 | 43% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★½ Classic winger Winger
Scout's notes: Crosser.
- What Facundo Lencioni is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Facundo Lencioni's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza prediction
Lanús should have more of the ball, with Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.65 for Lanús and 0.84 for Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza - with over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 47%. Lanús have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Lanús 2-0 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza betting tips
- Tip 1: Lanús to win 56% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 55% by the model, 2.49 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 9.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 8.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Liga Profesional Argentina previews
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- River Plate vs Racing Club Sunday 25 October 2026
- Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Monday 26 October 2026
- Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield Monday 26 October 2026
- Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes Monday 26 October 2026
- Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia Tuesday 27 October 2026
Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: questions and answers
When is Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?
Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza is on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 23:45 UTC, in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 15.
Where is Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza played?
At Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús, Lanús's home ground.
Who will win Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?
Lanús are the favourites: Lanús 56%, draw 26%, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 18%. Our prediction is Lanús 2-0 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza.
Who is the player to watch in Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?
Facundo Lencioni of Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 47 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Lanús vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
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