Olympique Lyonnais vs Monaco Prediction and Stats | Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Ligue 1 · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Groupama Stadium, Décines-Charpieu · updated 2026-11-15
Olympique Lyonnais welcome Monaco to Groupama Stadium in Décines-Charpieu in Ligue 1 Gameweek 12 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Olympique Lyonnais have played 10 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 80% win rate. Monaco have played 10 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Olympique Lyonnais are narrow favourites at 50%, with the draw at 27% and Monaco at 23%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Olympique Lyonnais 1.54, Monaco 0.95.
- Over 2.5 goals: 45% · both teams to score: 49%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Olympique Lyonnais: form and key numbers
In style Olympique Lyonnais keep the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.64 a match created, 1.16 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.4).
- Shots: 12.8 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 52.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Monaco: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.27 a match created, 1.47 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.3).
- Shots: 11.8 a match, 4.2 on target.
- Possession: 51.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 70% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Olympique Lyonnais vs Monaco: season averages side by side
| Olympique Lyonnais | Per match this season | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 10 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 1.3 |
| 0.9 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 1.64 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.27 |
| 1.16 | xG conceded | 1.47 |
| 12.8 | Shots | 11.8 |
| 4.6 | On target | 4.2 |
| 52.7 | Possession % | 51.2 |
| 40% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 40% | Both teams scored % | 70% |
| 4.6 | Corners | 4.1 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.88 | Average rating | 6.88 |
Players to watch
Olympique Lyonnais
- Dominik Greif GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 67 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 6% of his position)
- Corentin Tolisso CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 59 · Creator, Gets into scoring positions (top 6% of his position)
Monaco
- Stanis Idumbo WMF · Direct wide midfielder · Moneyball Score 53 · Dribbler, Gets into scoring positions (top 6% of his position)
- Paris Brunner CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 53 · Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring, Gets into scoring positions (top 24% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Lamine Camara
Lamine Camara, 22 · Monaco · CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 61
Lamine Camara, 22, plays as a central midfielder for Monaco in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and long balls. Weakest in expected assists (est.). Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 61
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 61
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 91% | 92% |
| Long balls | 3.70 / 90 | 86% |
| Tackles | 3.20 / 90 | 81% |
| Dispossessed | 0.60 / 90 | 79% |
| Passes | 66.50 / 90 | 70% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★★★½ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
- ★★★½ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Secure passer, Long passer, Ball-winner.
- What Lamine Camara is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Lamine Camara's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Olympique Lyonnais vs Monaco prediction
Olympique Lyonnais should have more of the ball. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.54 for Olympique Lyonnais and 0.95 for Monaco - with over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 49%. Olympique Lyonnais have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Olympique Lyonnais 2-0 Monaco
Olympique Lyonnais vs Monaco: what the numbers say
- 1. Olympique Lyonnais unbeaten (win or draw) 77% between them
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 55% by the model, 2.49 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.3 cards a match between them
- 4. 9 or more corners 8.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Ligue 1 previews
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- Nice vs Paris Saint Germain Saturday 21 November 2026
- Strasbourg vs Brest Saturday 21 November 2026
- Monaco vs Auxerre Saturday 21 November 2026
- LOSC Lille vs Olympique Lyonnais Saturday 21 November 2026
- Lens vs Toulouse Saturday 21 November 2026
- Paris vs Angers SCO Sunday 22 November 2026
- Lorient vs Rennes Sunday 22 November 2026
Olympique Lyonnais vs Monaco: questions and answers
When is Olympique Lyonnais vs Monaco?
Olympique Lyonnais vs Monaco is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 12.
Where is Olympique Lyonnais vs Monaco played?
At Groupama Stadium, Décines-Charpieu, Olympique Lyonnais's home ground.
Who will win Olympique Lyonnais vs Monaco?
Olympique Lyonnais are the favourites: Olympique Lyonnais 50%, draw 27%, Monaco 23%. Our prediction is Olympique Lyonnais 2-0 Monaco.
Who is the player to watch in Olympique Lyonnais vs Monaco?
Lamine Camara of Monaco: a ball-winning midfielder with a Moneyball Score of 61 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Olympique Lyonnais vs Monaco?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.