RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Prediction, Stats and Preview
Bundesliga · Saturday 10 October 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig · updated 2026-10-09
RB Leipzig host Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga on Saturday 10 October 2026 at Red Bull Arena. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes RB Leipzig clear favourites at 61%, puts the draw at 19% and expects about 4.0 goals.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: RB Leipzig 2.53, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.44.
- Over 2.5 goals: 76% · both teams to score: 71%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 4 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
The difference-maker: Antonio Nusa
Antonio Nusa, 21 · RB Leipzig · LWF · Creative winger
Moneyball Scout picks Antonio Nusa as the player most likely to decide this match, with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues (attacking 67, defensive 35).
- Successful dribbles: 3.42 per 90 minutes, better than 92% of wingers
- Big chances created: 0.79 per 90 minutes, better than 86% of wingers
- Fouls won: 2.37 per 90 minutes, better than 85% of wingers
Eintracht Frankfurt concede 2.5 goals a match this season (2.29 expected), more than the league's average: the space a creative winger like Antonio Nusa lives on.
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Big-chance creator, Draws fouls.
What he is worth on the market, how many league points he would add to another club and who could replace him: Moneyball Scouting Players Research.
Season statistics
| RB Leipzig | Per match this season | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 4 |
| 2.3 | Goals scored | 2.3 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 2.5 |
| 2.09 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.76 |
| 1.11 | xG conceded | 2.29 |
| 18.8 | Shots | 13.8 |
| 6.3 | On target | 4.8 |
| 57.8 | Possession % | 49.5 |
| 50% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 25% | Both teams scored % | 100% |
| 6.8 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 6.99 | Average rating | 6.90 |
Averages per match from Sportmonks.
Players to watch
RB Leipzig
- Antonio Nusa midfielder · rating 7.79 · 4 apps
- Willi Orbán defender · rating 7.42 · 4 apps
- Ridle Baku defender · rating 7.25 · 4 apps
Eintracht Frankfurt
- Younes Ebnoutalib forward · rating 7.54 · 4 apps
- Jeremiaha Maluze defender · rating 7.52 · 2 apps
- Jonathan Burkardt forward · rating 7.35 · 4 apps
The best-rated players of each side this season, with 180 minutes or more.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Bundesliga previews
- Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Friday 9 October 2026
- Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart Saturday 10 October 2026
- FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Sunday 11 October 2026
- SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 Sunday 11 October 2026
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln Friday 16 October 2026
- Elversberg vs FC Augsburg Saturday 17 October 2026
- Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 Saturday 17 October 2026
- Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Saturday 17 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.