Rennes vs OFI Crete Prediction and Betting Tips | UEFA Europa League Gameweek 2
UEFA Europa League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Rennes welcome OFI Crete to Roazhon Park in Rennes in UEFA Europa League Gameweek 2 action on Thursday 15 October 2026.
Rennes have played 5 matches in UEFA Europa League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 60% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 67% win rate. OFI Crete have played 3 matches in UEFA Europa League this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.0 goals a game and winning 100% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 33% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Rennes are clear favourites at 72%, with the draw at 17% and OFI Crete at 11%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.4% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Rennes -1.5 at 1.76, OFI Crete at 2.13. The main goals line is 3: over 1.90, under 1.96, which gives over 51%.
Rennes: form and key numbers
In style Rennes cross a lot, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.73 a match created, 2.04 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.6).
- Shots: 16.2 a match, 5.4 on target.
- Possession: 51.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
OFI Crete: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.89 a match created (goals minus xG: +4.3).
- Shots: 10.3 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 40.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 100% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 0% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.91.
Rennes vs OFI Crete: season averages side by side
| Rennes | Per match | OFI Crete |
|---|---|---|
| 1.73 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.89 |
| 2.04 | xG conceded | – |
| 1.60 | Goals | 2.33 |
| 16.2 | Shots | 10.3 |
| 5.4 | Shots on target | 4.7 |
| 3.0 | Big chances missed | 1.3 |
| 47.0 | Pressure share % | – |
| 16.0 | Tackles | 9.7 |
| 13.2 | Fouls | 9.0 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 5 and 3 measured matches.
Players to watch
Rennes
- Przemyslaw Frankowski RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 62 · Creator, Chance creator (top 4% of his position)
- Adrien Thomasson CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 60 · Chance creator, Creator (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal, 20 · Rennes · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 68
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal, 20, plays as a centre-back for Rennes in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in tackles and interceptions. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Accomplished, 76
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 68
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Tackles | 3.33 / 90 | 95% |
| Interceptions | 2.33 / 90 | 87% |
| Duels won | 6.67 / 90 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 1.33 / 90 | 82% |
| Pass accuracy | 93% | 78% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- ★★★★ Stopper Centre-back
Scout's notes: Ball-winner, Reads the game, Duel winner.
- What Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Rennes vs OFI Crete prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 0.96 for Rennes and 1.64 for OFI Crete - with over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 50%. Rennes have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Rennes 1-0 OFI Crete
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Rennes vs OFI Crete betting tips
- Tip 1: Rennes to win 72% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.60 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (48%)
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 8.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Rennes vs OFI Crete: questions and answers
When is Rennes vs OFI Crete?
Rennes vs OFI Crete is on Thursday 15 October 2026, in UEFA Europa League Gameweek 2.
Where is Rennes vs OFI Crete played?
At Roazhon Park, Rennes, Rennes's home ground.
Who will win Rennes vs OFI Crete?
Rennes are the favourites: Rennes 72%, draw 17%, OFI Crete 11%. Our prediction is Rennes 1-0 OFI Crete.
Who is the player to watch in Rennes vs OFI Crete?
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal of Rennes: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 68 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Rennes vs OFI Crete?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.