San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids Prediction and Betting Tips
Major League Soccer · Thursday 29 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-26
San Jose Earthquakes welcome Colorado Rapids in Major League Soccer action on Thursday 29 October 2026.
San Jose Earthquakes have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average. Colorado Rapids have played 31 matches in Major League Soccer this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 39% of them. Away from home they average 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 15 matches, with a 17% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, there is little to separate them: San Jose Earthquakes 40%, the draw 27%, Colorado Rapids 32%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.3% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is San Jose Earthquakes -0.25 at 1.85, Colorado Rapids at 1.88. The main goals line is 3: over 1.89, under 1.83, which gives over 49%.
Colorado Rapids: form and key numbers
In style Colorado Rapids keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.54 a match created, 0.90 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.7).
- Shots: 12.4 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 55.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 35% of matches (27% away).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 5.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids: season averages side by side
| San Jose Earthquakes | Per match | Colorado Rapids |
|---|---|---|
| – | Expected goals (xG) | 1.54 |
| – | xG conceded | 0.90 |
| – | Goals | 1.35 |
| – | Shots | 12.4 |
| – | Shots on target | 4.3 |
| – | Big chances missed | 1.4 |
| – | Pressure share % | 58.5 |
| – | Tackles | 13.3 |
| – | Fouls | 14.4 |
| – | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks.
Players to watch
Colorado Rapids
- Morgan Whittaker RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 41 · Crosser, Gets into scoring positions (top 21% of his position)
- Donavan Phillip CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 36 · Accurate shooter, Takes high-quality shots (top 9% of his position)
San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.25 for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.30 for Colorado Rapids - with over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 53%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Colorado Rapids
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 40%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 53% by the model, 2.55 goals expected
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids: questions and answers
When is San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?
San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids is on Thursday 29 October 2026, in Major League Soccer.
Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?
It is close: San Jose Earthquakes 40%, draw 27%, Colorado Rapids 32%. Our prediction is San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Colorado Rapids.
How many goals will there be in San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.