San Lorenzo vs Platense Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 16
Liga Profesional Argentina · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 00:00 UTC · Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, Capital Federal · updated 2026-10-25
San Lorenzo welcome Platense to Estadio Pedro Bidegaín in Capital Federal in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 16 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC.
San Lorenzo have played 31 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 0.7 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 32% of them. At home they average 0.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 15 matches, with a 70% win rate. Platense have played 30 matches in Liga Profesional Argentina this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 20% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded over 15 matches, with a 67% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: San Lorenzo 38%, the draw 33%, Platense 29%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: San Lorenzo 1.07, Platense 0.90.
- Over 2.5 goals: 31% · both teams to score: 40%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (14%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (31 and 30 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
San Lorenzo: form and key numbers
In style San Lorenzo play long and direct, are strong in the air, take players on.
- Expected goals: 0.88 a match created, 1.28 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.4).
- Shots: 11.0 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 48.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 48% of matches (60% at home).
- Both teams scored in 29% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 5.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
Platense: form and key numbers
In style Platense press high, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.12 a match created, 1.37 conceded (goals minus xG: -9.6).
- Shots: 13.3 a match, 4.2 on target.
- Possession: 50.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 23% of matches (71% away).
- Both teams scored in 47% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
San Lorenzo vs Platense: season averages side by side
| San Lorenzo | Per match this season | Platense |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Matches | 30 |
| 0.7 | Goals scored | 0.8 |
| 0.9 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 0.88 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.12 |
| 1.28 | xG conceded | 1.37 |
| 11.0 | Shots | 13.3 |
| 3.7 | On target | 4.2 |
| 48.8 | Possession % | 50.5 |
| 48% | Clean sheets % | 23% |
| 29% | Both teams scored % | 47% |
| 3.9 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 2.5 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.81 | Average rating | 6.78 |
Players to watch
San Lorenzo
- Gastón Hernández CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 57 · Duel winner, Ball-winner (top 6% of his position)
- Franco Lorenzon CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 52 · Blocks shots, Ball-winner (top 9% of his position)
Platense
- Agustín Lagos RWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 46 · Duel winner, Ball-winner (top 4% of his position)
- Tomás Silva LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 43 · Dribbler, Ball-winner (top 15% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Victor Cuesta
Victor Cuesta, 37 · Platense · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 48
Victor Cuesta, 37, plays as a centre-back for Platense in the Argentine Liga Profesional. Strongest for his role in interceptions and dribbled past. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 48
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions | 2.30 / 90 | 92% |
| Dribbled past | 0.20 / 90 | 82% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.05 / 90 | 73% |
| Duels won | 5.75 / 90 | 66% |
| Clearances | 6.85 / 90 | 61% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- ★★½ Box defender Centre-back
Scout's notes: Reads the game, Hard to dribble past.
- What Victor Cuesta is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Victor Cuesta's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
San Lorenzo vs Platense prediction
Platense should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.0 goals - 1.07 for San Lorenzo and 0.90 for Platense - with over 2.5 goals at 31% and both teams scoring at 40%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: San Lorenzo 1-1 Platense
San Lorenzo vs Platense betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 38%
- Tip 2: Under 1.5 goals 41% by the model, 1.97 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: no 60% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 11.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 8.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Liga Profesional Argentina previews
- Aldosivi vs Belgrano Sunday 25 October 2026
- Independiente vs Boca Juniors Sunday 25 October 2026
- River Plate vs Racing Club Sunday 25 October 2026
- Barracas Central vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Monday 26 October 2026
- Central Cordoba SdE vs Vélez Sarsfield Monday 26 October 2026
- Unión Santa Fe vs Estudiantes Monday 26 October 2026
- Instituto vs Deportivo Riestra Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente Rivadavia Tuesday 27 October 2026
San Lorenzo vs Platense: questions and answers
When is San Lorenzo vs Platense?
San Lorenzo vs Platense is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 00:00 UTC, in Liga Profesional Argentina Gameweek 16.
Where is San Lorenzo vs Platense played?
At Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, Capital Federal, San Lorenzo's home ground.
Who will win San Lorenzo vs Platense?
It is close: San Lorenzo 38%, draw 33%, Platense 29%. Our prediction is San Lorenzo 1-1 Platense.
Who is the player to watch in San Lorenzo vs Platense?
Victor Cuesta of Platense: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 48 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo vs Platense?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 31%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.