Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga Portugal Gameweek 11
Liga Portugal · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada · updated 2026-10-25
Santa Clara welcome Gil Vicente to Estádio de São Miguel in Ponta Delgada in Liga Portugal Gameweek 11 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
Santa Clara have played 8 matches in Liga Portugal this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.5 goals a game and winning 63% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 40% win rate. Gil Vicente have played 9 matches in Liga Portugal this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 44% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Santa Clara are narrow favourites at 46%, with the draw at 32% and Gil Vicente at 21%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Santa Clara 1.17, Gil Vicente 0.70.
- Over 2.5 goals: 29% · both teams to score: 35%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (11%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Santa Clara: form and key numbers
In style Santa Clara play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.37 a match created, 0.75 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.0).
- Shots: 13.3 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 47.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 63% of matches (60% at home).
- Both teams scored in 38% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.86.
Gil Vicente: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.36 a match created, 0.97 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.2).
- Shots: 13.0 a match, 3.6 on target.
- Possession: 51.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 44% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente: season averages side by side
| Santa Clara | Per match this season | Gil Vicente |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 0.9 |
| 0.5 | Goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 1.37 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.36 |
| 0.75 | xG conceded | 0.97 |
| 13.3 | Shots | 13.0 |
| 3.5 | On target | 3.6 |
| 47.4 | Possession % | 51.6 |
| 63% | Clean sheets % | 44% |
| 38% | Both teams scored % | 33% |
| 4.1 | Corners | 3.2 |
| 2.8 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.86 | Average rating | 6.79 |
Players to watch
Santa Clara
- Vinícius Lopes RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 50 · Draws fouls, Chance creator (top 16% of his position)
- Gonçalo Paciência CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 48 · High shot volume, Clinical finisher (top 31% of his position)
Gil Vicente
- Zé Carlos CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 58 · Reads the game, Ball-winner (top 1% of his position)
- Diogo Prioste CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 50 · Press-resistant, Secure passer (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ricardo Esgaio
Ricardo Esgaio, 33 · Gil Vicente · RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 50
Ricardo Esgaio, 33, plays as a full-back for Gil Vicente in Liga Portugal. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and key passes. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RB · Full-back Natural, 50
- RWB · Wing-back Accomplished, 36
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.17 / 90 | 87% |
| Key passes | 1.15 / 90 | 75% |
| Accurate crosses | 0.69 / 90 | 72% |
| Tackles | 2.87 / 90 | 68% |
| Passes | 47.59 / 90 | 52% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★ Defensive full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Creator.
- What Ricardo Esgaio is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ricardo Esgaio's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente prediction
Gil Vicente should have more of the ball; Santa Clara go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 1.9 goals - 1.17 for Santa Clara and 0.70 for Gil Vicente - with over 2.5 goals at 29% and both teams scoring at 35%. Santa Clara have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Santa Clara 2-0 Gil Vicente
Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente betting tips
- Tip 1: Santa Clara win or draw (double chance) 79% between them
- Tip 2: Under 1.5 goals 44% by the model, 1.86 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: no 65% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.6 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 7.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Liga Portugal previews
- Estoril vs Moreirense Sunday 25 October 2026
- Rio Ave vs Famalicão Sunday 25 October 2026
- Nacional vs Sporting Braga Sunday 25 October 2026
- Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu Sunday 25 October 2026
- Santa Clara vs Benfica Monday 26 October 2026
- Casa Pia vs Sporting CP Friday 30 October 2026
- Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora Saturday 31 October 2026
- Porto vs Estoril Saturday 31 October 2026
Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente: questions and answers
When is Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?
Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 15:30 UTC, in Liga Portugal Gameweek 11.
Where is Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente played?
At Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Santa Clara's home ground.
Who will win Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?
Santa Clara are the favourites: Santa Clara 46%, draw 32%, Gil Vicente 21%. Our prediction is Santa Clara 2-0 Gil Vicente.
Who is the player to watch in Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?
Ricardo Esgaio of Gil Vicente: a attacking full-back with a Moneyball Score of 50 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente?
Moneyball's model expects about 1.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 29%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.