Sint-Truiden vs Iberia 1999 Prediction and Betting Tips | UEFA Conference League Gameweek 1
UEFA Conference League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-10
Sint-Truiden welcome Iberia 1999 to Stayen Stadion in St.-Trond in UEFA Conference League Gameweek 1 action on Thursday 15 October 2026.
Sint-Truiden have played 2 matches in UEFA Conference League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 100% win rate. Iberia 1999 have played 4 matches in UEFA Conference League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Sint-Truiden are clear favourites at 69%, with the draw at 19% and Iberia 1999 at 13%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.2% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Sint-Truiden -1.25 at 1.62, Iberia 1999 at 2.06. The main goals line is 3: over 1.86, under 1.80, which gives over 49%.
Sint-Truiden: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.99 a match created (goals minus xG: -1.0).
- Shots: 16.0 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 55.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.0 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Iberia 1999: form and key numbers
- Shots: 11.5 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 59.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.28.
Sint-Truiden vs Iberia 1999: season averages side by side
| Sint-Truiden | Per match | Iberia 1999 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.99 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.35 |
| 1.50 | Goals | 1.50 |
| 16.0 | Shots | 11.5 |
| 4.0 | Shots on target | 5.8 |
| 1.5 | Big chances missed | – |
| 6.5 | Tackles | – |
| 12.5 | Fouls | 10.0 |
| 3.0 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 2 and 4 measured matches.
Sint-Truiden vs Iberia 1999 prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals - 1.87 for Sint-Truiden and 1.50 for Iberia 1999 - with over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring at 66%. Sint-Truiden have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Sint-Truiden 2-1 Iberia 1999
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Sint-Truiden vs Iberia 1999 betting tips
- Tip 1: Sint-Truiden to win 69% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 66% by the model, 3.37 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 66% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Sint-Truiden vs Iberia 1999: questions and answers
When is Sint-Truiden vs Iberia 1999?
Sint-Truiden vs Iberia 1999 is on Thursday 15 October 2026, in UEFA Conference League Gameweek 1.
Where is Sint-Truiden vs Iberia 1999 played?
At Stayen Stadion, St.-Trond, Sint-Truiden's home ground.
Who will win Sint-Truiden vs Iberia 1999?
Sint-Truiden are the favourites: Sint-Truiden 69%, draw 19%, Iberia 1999 13%. Our prediction is Sint-Truiden 2-1 Iberia 1999.
How many goals will there be in Sint-Truiden vs Iberia 1999?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 66%.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.