Sporting CP vs Moreirense Prediction and Betting Tips | Liga Portugal Gameweek 11
Liga Portugal · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 20:30 UTC · Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa · updated 2026-10-25
Sporting CP welcome Moreirense to Estádio José Alvalade in Lisboa in Liga Portugal Gameweek 11 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 20:30 UTC.
Sporting CP have played 8 matches in Liga Portugal this season, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 63% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 60% win rate. Moreirense have played 8 matches in Liga Portugal this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Sporting CP are clear favourites at 74%, with the draw at 16% and Moreirense at 9%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Sporting CP 2.51, Moreirense 0.80.
- Over 2.5 goals: 64% · both teams to score: 51%.
- Most likely score: 3–0 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 8 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Sporting CP: form and key numbers
In style Sporting CP keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.73 a match created, 0.88 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.2).
- Shots: 12.9 a match, 5.5 on target.
- Possession: 59.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Moreirense: form and key numbers
In style Moreirense are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.82 a match created, 1.76 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.4).
- Shots: 7.9 a match, 2.8 on target.
- Possession: 36.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.64.
Sporting CP vs Moreirense: season averages side by side
| Sporting CP | Per match this season | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 8 |
| 2.5 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.9 |
| 1.73 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.82 |
| 0.88 | xG conceded | 1.76 |
| 12.9 | Shots | 7.9 |
| 5.5 | On target | 2.8 |
| 59.1 | Possession % | 36.1 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 13% |
| 75% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 4.6 | Corners | 2.4 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | 2.6 |
| 6.89 | Average rating | 6.64 |
Players to watch
Sporting CP
- Fotis Ioannidis CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 64 · Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume (top 11% of his position)
- Luis Suárez CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 54 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 2% of his position)
Moreirense
- Tiago Andrade LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 50 · Draws fouls, Dribbler (top 5% of his position)
- Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 48 · Box defender, Blocks shots (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Sergi Altimira
Sergi Altimira, 25 · Sporting CP · DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 64
Sergi Altimira, 25, plays as a defensive midfielder for Sporting CP in Liga Portugal. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and tackles. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 64
- CM · Central midfielder Accomplished, 60
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 94% | 99% |
| Tackles | 3.77 / 90 | 91% |
| Long balls | 4.39 / 90 | 88% |
| Duels won | 7.28 / 90 | 87% |
| Passes | 75.19 / 90 | 78% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
- ★★★★½ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★★★★½ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Secure passer, Ball-winner, Long passer.
- What Sergi Altimira is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Sergi Altimira's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction
Sporting CP should have more of the ball, with Moreirense likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Sporting CP like to take players on; Moreirense go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 2.51 for Sporting CP and 0.80 for Moreirense - with over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 51%. Sporting CP have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Sporting CP 3-0 Moreirense
Sporting CP vs Moreirense betting tips
- Tip 1: Sporting CP to win 74% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 64% by the model, 3.30 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 7.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Liga Portugal previews
- Estoril vs Moreirense Sunday 25 October 2026
- Rio Ave vs Famalicão Sunday 25 October 2026
- Nacional vs Sporting Braga Sunday 25 October 2026
- Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu Sunday 25 October 2026
- Santa Clara vs Benfica Monday 26 October 2026
- Casa Pia vs Sporting CP Friday 30 October 2026
- Moreirense vs Estrela Amadora Saturday 31 October 2026
- Porto vs Estoril Saturday 31 October 2026
Sporting CP vs Moreirense: questions and answers
When is Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
Sporting CP vs Moreirense is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 20:30 UTC, in Liga Portugal Gameweek 11.
Where is Sporting CP vs Moreirense played?
At Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa, Sporting CP's home ground.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
Sporting CP are the favourites: Sporting CP 74%, draw 16%, Moreirense 9%. Our prediction is Sporting CP 3-0 Moreirense.
Who is the player to watch in Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
Sergi Altimira of Sporting CP: a deep-lying playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Tags
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