Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 9
Premier League · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London · updated 2026-10-17
Tottenham Hotspur welcome Crystal Palace to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London in Premier League Gameweek 9 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Tottenham Hotspur have played 6 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 0% win rate. Crystal Palace have played 6 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Tottenham Hotspur 42%, the draw 26%, Crystal Palace 32%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Tottenham Hotspur 1.52, Crystal Palace 1.31.
- Over 2.5 goals: 54% · both teams to score: 58%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Tottenham Hotspur: form and key numbers
In style Tottenham Hotspur keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.15 a match created, 1.52 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.9).
- Shots: 13.8 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 58.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Crystal Palace: form and key numbers
In style Crystal Palace are happy without the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.28 a match created, 2.31 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.3).
- Shots: 11.0 a match, 4.2 on target.
- Possession: 43.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: season averages side by side
| Tottenham Hotspur | Per match this season | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 6 |
| 0.5 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.5 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 1.15 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.28 |
| 1.52 | xG conceded | 2.31 |
| 13.8 | Shots | 11.0 |
| 3.7 | On target | 4.2 |
| 58.8 | Possession % | 43.3 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 33% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 7.0 | Corners | 2.8 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 6.75 | Average rating | 6.77 |
Players to watch
Tottenham Hotspur
- Jan Paul van Hecke CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 61 · Ball circulator, Blocks shots (top 5% of his position)
- Andrew Robertson LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 61 · Chance creator, Creator (top 1% of his position)
Crystal Palace
- Dean Henderson GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 62 · Box defender, Shot-stopper (top 7% of his position)
- Chris Richards CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 57 · Blocks shots, Hard to dribble past (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Savinho
Savinho, 22 · Tottenham Hotspur · LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 80
Savinho, 22, plays as a winger for Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and expected assists (est.). Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 80
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 76
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 4.89 / 90 | 99% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.42 / 90 | 94% |
| Big chances created | 0.82 / 90 | 94% |
| Key passes | 2.99 / 90 | 91% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.63 / 90 | 90% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Creator, Big-chance creator.
- What Savinho is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace prediction
Tottenham Hotspur should have more of the ball, with Crystal Palace likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Tottenham Hotspur like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.52 for Tottenham Hotspur and 1.31 for Crystal Palace - with over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 58%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Crystal Palace
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 42%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.84 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (54%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 58% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Premier League previews
- Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest Friday 23 October 2026
- Aston Villa vs Manchester City Saturday 24 October 2026
- Coventry City vs Fulham Saturday 24 October 2026
- Arsenal vs Everton Saturday 24 October 2026
- Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Saturday 24 October 2026
- Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth Sunday 25 October 2026
- Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion Sunday 25 October 2026
- Hull City vs Brentford Sunday 25 October 2026
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: questions and answers
When is Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC, in Premier League Gameweek 9.
Where is Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace played?
At Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, Tottenham Hotspur's home ground.
Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?
It is close: Tottenham Hotspur 42%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace 32%. Our prediction is Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Crystal Palace.
Who is the player to watch in Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?
Savinho of Tottenham Hotspur: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 80 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.