Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC Prediction and Betting Tips
Major League Soccer · Thursday 29 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-26
Vancouver Whitecaps welcome San Diego FC to Vancouver Stadium in Vancouver in Major League Soccer action on Thursday 29 October 2026.
Vancouver Whitecaps have played 31 matches in Major League Soccer this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 52% of them. At home they average 2.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded over 15 matches, with a 56% win rate. San Diego FC have played 31 matches in Major League Soccer this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 26% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.9 conceded over 15 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Vancouver Whitecaps are clear favourites at 64%, with the draw at 19% and San Diego FC at 17%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.7% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Vancouver Whitecaps -1.25 at 1.83, San Diego FC at 1.89. The main goals line is 3.5: over 1.81, under 1.89, which gives over 51%.
Vancouver Whitecaps: form and key numbers
In style Vancouver Whitecaps keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.04 a match created, 1.27 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.3).
- Shots: 16.5 a match, 5.7 on target.
- Possession: 55.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 39% of matches (58% at home).
- Both teams scored in 48% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.94.
San Diego FC: form and key numbers
In style San Diego FC keep the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.68 a match created, 1.44 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.8).
- Shots: 12.2 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 60.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 23% of matches (29% away).
- Both teams scored in 61% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 8.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.86.
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC: season averages side by side
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Per match | San Diego FC |
|---|---|---|
| 2.04 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.68 |
| 1.27 | xG conceded | 1.44 |
| 2.03 | Goals | 1.77 |
| 16.5 | Shots | 12.2 |
| 5.7 | Shots on target | 4.7 |
| 2.0 | Big chances missed | 1.5 |
| 68.3 | Pressure share % | 54.0 |
| 19.2 | Tackles | 14.6 |
| 13.9 | Fouls | 10.7 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 31 and 31 measured matches.
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Vancouver Whitecaps have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Vancouver Whitecaps 11, San Diego FC 9 - 5.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished San Diego FC 2-4 Vancouver Whitecaps (May 24th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Vancouver Whitecaps won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | San Diego FC | 2 – 4 | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 30 Nov 2025 | San Diego FC | 1 – 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 20 Jul 2025 | San Diego FC | 1 – 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 26 Jun 2025 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 3 – 5 | San Diego FC |
Players to watch
Vancouver Whitecaps
- Sebastian Berhalter CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 51 · Creator, Chance creator (top 2% of his position)
- Thomas Müller SS · Link-up forward · Moneyball Score 46 · Chance creator, Creator (top 9% of his position)
San Diego FC
- Cédric Bakambu CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 52 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 1% of his position)
- Alejandro Alvarado CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 44 · Secure passer, Dribbler (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Anders Dreyer
Anders Dreyer, 28 · San Diego · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 54
Anders Dreyer, 28, plays as a winger for San Diego in the MLS. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and dispossessed. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 54
- SS · Second striker Competent, 32
- RM · Wide midfielder Competent, 27
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.81 / 90 | 96% |
| Dispossessed | 0.58 / 90 | 95% |
| Expected goals | 0.47 / 90 | 92% |
| Key passes | 2.70 / 90 | 81% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.31 / 90 | 79% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★½ Link-up forward Second striker
Scout's notes: Crosser, Press-resistant, Gets into scoring positions.
- What Anders Dreyer is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Anders Dreyer's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC prediction
San Diego FC should have more of the ball; Vancouver Whitecaps work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.9 goals - 2.58 for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.33 for San Diego FC - with over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams scoring at 68%. Vancouver Whitecaps have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Vancouver Whitecaps 3-1 San Diego FC
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC betting tips
- Tip 1: Vancouver Whitecaps to win 64% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 3.5 goals 55% by the model, 3.91 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 68% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 13.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 10.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC in the Match Centre Follow it live
More Major League Soccer previews
- Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal Thursday 29 October 2026
- Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati Thursday 29 October 2026
- New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls Thursday 29 October 2026
- New York City FC vs Atlanta United Thursday 29 October 2026
- Toronto FC vs DC United Thursday 29 October 2026
- Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake Thursday 29 October 2026
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC: questions and answers
When is Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC?
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC is on Thursday 29 October 2026, in Major League Soccer.
Where is Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC played?
At Vancouver Stadium, Vancouver, Vancouver Whitecaps's home ground.
Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC?
Vancouver Whitecaps are the favourites: Vancouver Whitecaps 64%, draw 19%, San Diego FC 17%. Our prediction is Vancouver Whitecaps 3-1 San Diego FC.
Who is the player to watch in Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC?
Anders Dreyer of San Diego: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 54 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 75%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.