ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction and Betting Tips | Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Eredivisie · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 17:45 UTC · WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag · updated 2026-10-25
ADO Den Haag welcome Sparta Rotterdam to WerkTalent Stadion in Den Haag in Eredivisie Gameweek 12 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
ADO Den Haag have played 10 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 10% of them. At home they average 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate. Sparta Rotterdam have played 9 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.4 goals a game and winning 22% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: ADO Den Haag 37%, the draw 23%, Sparta Rotterdam 40%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: ADO Den Haag 1.75, Sparta Rotterdam 1.83.
- Over 2.5 goals: 69% · both teams to score: 70%.
- Most likely score: 1–3 (5%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
ADO Den Haag: form and key numbers
In style ADO Den Haag play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.10 a match created, 1.99 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.0).
- Shots: 12.5 a match, 3.6 on target.
- Possession: 48.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 80% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.70.
Sparta Rotterdam: form and key numbers
In style Sparta Rotterdam are happy without the ball, play long and direct, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.88 a match created, 2.13 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.9).
- Shots: 14.7 a match, 5.1 on target.
- Possession: 44.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 78% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: season averages side by side
| ADO Den Haag | Per match this season | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 2.3 | Goals conceded | 2.4 |
| 1.10 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.88 |
| 1.99 | xG conceded | 2.13 |
| 12.5 | Shots | 14.7 |
| 3.6 | On target | 5.1 |
| 48.1 | Possession % | 44.8 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 80% | Both teams scored % | 78% |
| 4.0 | Corners | 5.7 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
| 6.70 | Average rating | 6.75 |
Players to watch
ADO Den Haag
- Juho Kilo CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 42 · Long passer, Press-resistant (top 11% of his position)
- Kilian Nikièma GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 41 · Long passer, Secure passer (top 7% of his position)
Sparta Rotterdam
- Mitchell van Bergen RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 44 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 35% of his position)
- Casper Terho RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 41 · Big-chance creator, Crosser (top 22% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Milan Zonneveld
Milan Zonneveld, 23 · Sparta Rotterdam · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 62
Milan Zonneveld, 23, plays as a centre-forward for Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and key passes. Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 62
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 58
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 7.09 / 90 | 98% |
| Key passes | 2.47 / 90 | 92% |
| Duels won | 8.94 / 90 | 84% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 xG/shot | 76% |
| Goals | 0.92 / 90 | 75% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Complete forward Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Chance creator, Duel winner.
- What Milan Zonneveld is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Milan Zonneveld's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction
ADO Den Haag should have more of the ball; both go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals - 1.75 for ADO Den Haag and 1.83 for Sparta Rotterdam - with over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 70%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: ADO Den Haag 2-2 Sparta Rotterdam
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 40%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 69% by the model, 3.58 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 70% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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- PSV vs Willem II Saturday 31 October 2026
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ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: questions and answers
When is ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC, in Eredivisie Gameweek 12.
Where is ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
At WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag, ADO Den Haag's home ground.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
It is close: ADO Den Haag 37%, draw 23%, Sparta Rotterdam 40%. Our prediction is ADO Den Haag 2-2 Sparta Rotterdam.
Who is the player to watch in ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Milan Zonneveld of Sparta Rotterdam: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 62 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.