SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction and Betting Tips | Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Eredivisie · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen · updated 2026-10-25
SC Heerenveen welcome NEC Nijmegen to Abe Lenstra Stadion in Heerenveen in Eredivisie Gameweek 11 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
SC Heerenveen have played 10 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 40% of them. At home they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. NEC Nijmegen have played 10 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 20% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, SC Heerenveen are narrow favourites at 47%, with the draw at 24% and NEC Nijmegen at 29%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: SC Heerenveen 1.83, NEC Nijmegen 1.41.
- Over 2.5 goals: 63% · both teams to score: 64%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
SC Heerenveen: form and key numbers
In style SC Heerenveen play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.61 a match created, 1.69 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.9).
- Shots: 15.2 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 52.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 0.9 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
NEC Nijmegen: form and key numbers
In style NEC Nijmegen keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.91 a match created, 1.73 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.1).
- Shots: 16.0 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 59.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 90% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen: season averages side by side
| SC Heerenveen | Per match this season | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 10 |
| 1.8 | Goals scored | 1.7 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 1.61 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.91 |
| 1.69 | xG conceded | 1.73 |
| 15.2 | Shots | 16.0 |
| 5.8 | On target | 4.7 |
| 52.2 | Possession % | 59.8 |
| 40% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 40% | Both teams scored % | 90% |
| 4.8 | Corners | 6.3 |
| 0.9 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 6.92 | Average rating | 6.81 |
Players to watch
SC Heerenveen
- Levi Smans AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 46 · Chance creator, Creator (top 15% of his position)
- Bernt Klaverboer GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 39 · Secure passer, Long passer (top 38% of his position)
NEC Nijmegen
- Kaj Sierhuis CF · Complete forward · Moneyball Score 42 · High shot volume, Dominant in the air (top 28% of his position)
- Darko Nejasmic DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 37 · Disciplined, Blocks shots (top 12% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Clement Mutahi Bischoff
Clement Mutahi Bischoff, 20 · NEC Nijmegen · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 39
Clement Mutahi Bischoff, 20, plays as a winger for NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie. Strongest for his role in big chances created and accurate crosses. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 39
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 38
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 35
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Big chances created | 0.63 / 90 | 80% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.27 / 90 | 72% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.31 / 90 | 70% |
| Fouls won | 2.22 / 90 | 59% |
| Key passes | 2.06 / 90 | 42% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★½ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Big-chance creator.
- What Clement Mutahi Bischoff is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Clement Mutahi Bischoff's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction
NEC Nijmegen should have more of the ball; SC Heerenveen go long and direct; NEC Nijmegen are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 1.83 for SC Heerenveen and 1.41 for NEC Nijmegen - with over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 64%. SC Heerenveen have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: SC Heerenveen 2-1 NEC Nijmegen
SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen betting tips
- Tip 1: SC Heerenveen win or draw (double chance) 71% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 63% by the model, 3.24 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 64% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen: questions and answers
When is SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?
SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC, in Eredivisie Gameweek 11.
Where is SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen played?
At Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen, SC Heerenveen's home ground.
Who will win SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?
SC Heerenveen are the favourites: SC Heerenveen 47%, draw 24%, NEC Nijmegen 29%. Our prediction is SC Heerenveen 2-1 NEC Nijmegen.
Who is the player to watch in SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?
Clement Mutahi Bischoff of NEC Nijmegen: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 39 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.