Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction and Betting Tips | Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Eredivisie · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam · updated 2026-10-25
Feyenoord welcome Fortuna Sittard to Stadion Feijenoord in Rotterdam in Eredivisie Gameweek 11 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
Feyenoord have played 10 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 3.2 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 70% of them. At home they average 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 29% win rate. Fortuna Sittard have played 10 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 60% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Feyenoord are clear favourites at 80%, with the draw at 13% and Fortuna Sittard at 8%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Feyenoord 3.07, Fortuna Sittard 0.91.
- Over 2.5 goals: 76% · both teams to score: 57%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Feyenoord: form and key numbers
In style Feyenoord keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 2.70 a match created, 1.01 conceded (goals minus xG: +5.0).
- Shots: 20.6 a match, 8.4 on target.
- Possession: 53.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.08.
Fortuna Sittard: form and key numbers
In style Fortuna Sittard are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.89 a match created, 2.41 conceded (goals minus xG: +8.1).
- Shots: 9.8 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 36.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 70% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: season averages side by side
| Feyenoord | Per match this season | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 10 |
| 3.2 | Goals scored | 1.7 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 2.70 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.89 |
| 1.01 | xG conceded | 2.41 |
| 20.6 | Shots | 9.8 |
| 8.4 | On target | 4.5 |
| 53.3 | Possession % | 36.2 |
| 40% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 60% | Both teams scored % | 70% |
| 6.3 | Corners | 2.7 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
| 7.08 | Average rating | 6.77 |
Players to watch
Feyenoord
- Nacho Ferri CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 63 · Accurate shooter, Dominant in the air (top 11% of his position)
- Ayase Ueda CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 55 · Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions (top 9% of his position)
Fortuna Sittard
- Mattijs Branderhorst GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 48 · Dominant in the air, Shot-stopper (top 33% of his position)
- Rodrigo Guth CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 37 · Box defender, Hard to dribble past (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Anis Hadj Moussa
Anis Hadj Moussa, 24 · Feyenoord · RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 64
Anis Hadj Moussa, 24, plays as a winger for Feyenoord in the Eredivisie. Strongest for his role in key passes and accurate crosses. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 64
- RM · Wide midfielder Competent, 38
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.38 / 90 | 91% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.69 / 90 | 89% |
| Successful dribbles | 3.49 / 90 | 88% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.38 / 90 | 88% |
| Big chances created | 0.56 / 90 | 77% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Crosser, Dribbler.
⚠ 6 goals from only 2.8 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Anis Hadj Moussa is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Anis Hadj Moussa's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard prediction
Feyenoord should have more of the ball, with Fortuna Sittard likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Feyenoord like to take players on; Fortuna Sittard go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 4.0 goals - 3.07 for Feyenoord and 0.91 for Fortuna Sittard - with over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 57%. Feyenoord have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Feyenoord 3-1 Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard betting tips
- Tip 1: Feyenoord to win 80% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 3.5 goals 56% by the model, 3.97 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: questions and answers
When is Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?
Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 15:30 UTC, in Eredivisie Gameweek 11.
Where is Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard played?
At Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam, Feyenoord's home ground.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?
Feyenoord are the favourites: Feyenoord 80%, draw 13%, Fortuna Sittard 8%. Our prediction is Feyenoord 3-1 Fortuna Sittard.
Who is the player to watch in Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?
Anis Hadj Moussa of Feyenoord: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 76%.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.