AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Prediction, Stats and Preview
Europa Conference League · Thursday 22 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Vejlby Stadion, Risskov · updated 2026-10-09
AGF host Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October 2026 at Vejlby Stadion. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes Egnatia Rrogozhinë favourites at 59%, puts the draw at 18% and expects about 4.7 goals.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: AGF 1.83, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2.85.
- Over 2.5 goals: 85% · both teams to score: 79%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 4 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Season statistics
| AGF | Per match this season | Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 4 |
| 1.8 | Goals scored | 3.0 |
| 2.5 | Goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 1.32 | Expected goals (xG) | – |
| 12.3 | Shots | 9.5 |
| 4.5 | On target | 5.3 |
| 47.0 | Possession % | 47.8 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 75% | Both teams scored % | 100% |
| 4.3 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 2.5 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
| 6.72 | Average rating | 6.33 |
Averages per match from Sportmonks; AGF in its domestic league; Egnatia Rrogozhinë in its domestic league.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Europa Conference League previews
- CSKA Sofia vs Monaco Thursday 15 October 2026
- Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka Thursday 15 October 2026
- Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes Thursday 15 October 2026
- KuPS vs Trabzonspor Thursday 15 October 2026
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland Thursday 15 October 2026
- Gent vs AGF Thursday 15 October 2026
- Hajduk Split vs Ajax Thursday 15 October 2026
- Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda Thursday 15 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.