Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes: Prediction, Stats and Preview
Europa Conference League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Strandvallen, Sölvesborg · updated 2026-10-09
Mjällby host Inter Club d'Escaldes in the Europa Conference League on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Strandvallen. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes Inter Club d'Escaldes favourites at 46%, puts the draw at 30% and expects about 2.2 goals.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Mjällby 0.88, Inter Club d'Escaldes 1.33.
- Over 2.5 goals: 38% · both teams to score: 44%.
- Most likely score: 0–1 (14%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 4 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Season statistics
| Mjällby | Per match this season | Inter Club d'Escaldes |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 4 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 0.5 |
| 10.0 | Shots | 6.8 |
| 4.5 | On target | 5.3 |
| 53.8 | Possession % | 45.5 |
| 50% | Clean sheets % | 75% |
| 25% | Both teams scored % | 25% |
| 4.5 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 2.5 | Yellow cards | 3.5 |
| 6.40 | Average rating | 6.49 |
Averages per match from Sportmonks; Mjällby in its domestic league.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Europa Conference League previews
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- Gent vs AGF Thursday 15 October 2026
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.