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Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka: Prediction, Stats and Preview

Europa Conference League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis, Athens · updated 2026-10-09

Panathinaikos host Borac Banja Luka in the Europa Conference League on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes Borac Banja Luka slight favourites at 43%, in a match close to a coin toss, puts the draw at 24% and expects about 3.3 goals.

Moneyball's estimate

Panathinaikos33%fair odds 2.99
Draw24%fair odds 4.16
Borac Banja Luka43%fair odds 2.35

From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.

Season statistics

PanathinaikosPer match this seasonBorac Banja Luka
6Matches6
1.8Goals scored2.3
1.3Goals conceded1.2
1.43Expected goals (xG)–
16.5Shots7.7
7.3On target5.3
51.8Possession %47.5
0%Clean sheets %33%
100%Both teams scored %67%
6.7Corners5.2
2.3Yellow cards2.5
6.84Average rating6.42

Averages per match from Sportmonks.

The full analysis

Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.