Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor Prediction and Betting Tips | Süper Lig Gameweek 11
Süper Lig · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya · updated 2026-10-25
Alanyaspor welcome Trabzonspor to Alanya Oba Stadium in Alanya in Süper Lig Gameweek 11 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 15:30 UTC.
Alanyaspor have played 9 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 33% win rate. Trabzonspor have played 8 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.6 goals a game and winning 63% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 20% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Trabzonspor are narrow favourites at 50%, with the draw at 26% and Alanyaspor at 24%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Alanyaspor 1.07, Trabzonspor 1.65.
- Over 2.5 goals: 51% · both teams to score: 54%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 8 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Alanyaspor: form and key numbers
In style Alanyaspor are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.06 a match created, 1.80 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.5).
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 3.6 on target.
- Possession: 43.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
Trabzonspor: form and key numbers
In style Trabzonspor keep the ball, play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.63 a match created, 1.57 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.9).
- Shots: 13.9 a match, 6.9 on target.
- Possession: 52.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (25% away).
- Both teams scored in 38% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.03.
Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor: season averages side by side
| Alanyaspor | Per match this season | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 8 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 2.3 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 0.6 |
| 1.06 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.63 |
| 1.80 | xG conceded | 1.57 |
| 11.6 | Shots | 13.9 |
| 3.6 | On target | 6.9 |
| 43.6 | Possession % | 52.6 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 50% |
| 56% | Both teams scored % | 38% |
| 5.2 | Corners | 5.4 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.81 | Average rating | 7.03 |
Players to watch
Alanyaspor
- Paulo Victor GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 36 · Box defender, Shot-stopper (top 62% of his position)
- Florent Hadergjonaj RMF · Wide playmaker · Moneyball Score 33 · Crosser, Press-resistant (top 7% of his position)
Trabzonspor
- André Onana GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 43 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 61% of his position)
- Aral Şimşir LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 41 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 2% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mohamed Salah
Mohamed Salah, 34 · Trabzonspor · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 54
Mohamed Salah, 34, plays as a winger for Trabzonspor in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and expected goals. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 54
- ST · Centre-forward Accomplished, 41
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.42 / 90 | 88% |
| Expected goals | 0.54 / 90 | 87% |
| Key passes | 3.47 / 90 | 87% |
| Big chances created | 0.69 / 90 | 83% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.25 / 90 | 68% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
Scout's notes: Creator, Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator.
⚠ 7 goals from only 3.9 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Mohamed Salah is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mohamed Salah's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor prediction
Trabzonspor should have more of the ball, with Alanyaspor likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Alanyaspor go long and direct; Trabzonspor like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.07 for Alanyaspor and 1.65 for Trabzonspor - with over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 54%. Trabzonspor have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Alanyaspor 1-2 Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor betting tips
- Tip 1: Trabzonspor win or draw (double chance) 76% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.72 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (51%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.6 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 10.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray Friday 30 October 2026
- Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK Saturday 31 October 2026
- Kocaelispor vs Rizespor Saturday 31 October 2026
- Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe Saturday 31 October 2026
Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor: questions and answers
When is Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor?
Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 15:30 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 11.
Where is Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor played?
At Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya, Alanyaspor's home ground.
Who will win Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor?
Trabzonspor are the favourites: Alanyaspor 24%, draw 26%, Trabzonspor 50%. Our prediction is Alanyaspor 1-2 Trabzonspor.
Who is the player to watch in Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor?
Mohamed Salah of Trabzonspor: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 54 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Alanyaspor vs Trabzonspor?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.