Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron Prediction and Betting Tips | Russian Premier League Gameweek 13
Russian Premier League · Sunday 1 November 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Kaliningrad Stadium, Kaliningrad · updated 2026-10-25
Baltika Kaliningrad welcome Akron to Kaliningrad Stadium in Kaliningrad in Russian Premier League Gameweek 13 action on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
Baltika Kaliningrad have played 12 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 33% win rate. Akron have played 12 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 17% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Baltika Kaliningrad are narrow favourites at 55%, with the draw at 26% and Akron at 19%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Baltika Kaliningrad 1.65, Akron 0.88.
- Over 2.5 goals: 46% · both teams to score: 48%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Baltika Kaliningrad: form and key numbers
In style Baltika Kaliningrad are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.39 a match created, 0.95 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.7).
- Shots: 12.5 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 40.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (25% at home).
- Both teams scored in 58% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Akron: form and key numbers
In style Akron keep the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.05 a match created, 1.45 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.4).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 53.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 58% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 3.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron: season averages side by side
| Baltika Kaliningrad | Per match this season | Akron |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.3 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 1.39 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.05 |
| 0.95 | xG conceded | 1.45 |
| 12.5 | Shots | 12.3 |
| 4.1 | On target | 4.0 |
| 40.4 | Possession % | 53.5 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 58% | Both teams scored % | 58% |
| 4.9 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 3.2 |
| 6.77 | Average rating | 6.78 |
Players to watch
Baltika Kaliningrad
- Brayan Gil CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 30 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 6% of his position)
- Vladislav Pospelov WMF · Two-way wide midfielder · Moneyball Score 30 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 21% of his position)
Akron
- K. Arévalo LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 34 · Press-resistant, Creator (top 16% of his position)
- Rodrigo Escoval CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 29 · Blocks shots, Long passer (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Marat Bokoev
Marat Bokoev, 25 · Akron · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 31
Marat Bokoev, 25, plays as a centre-back for Akron in the Russian Premier League. Strongest for his role in dribbled past and interceptions. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 31
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Dribbled past | 0.00 / 90 | 98% |
| Interceptions | 2.32 / 90 | 71% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.54 / 90 | 65% |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 40% |
| Duels won | 6.19 / 90 | 38% |
Roles he suits
- ★★½ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- ★★ Stopper Centre-back
Scout's notes: Hard to dribble past.
- What Marat Bokoev is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Marat Bokoev's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron prediction
Akron should have more of the ball, with Baltika Kaliningrad likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Baltika Kaliningrad are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Akron go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.65 for Baltika Kaliningrad and 0.88 for Akron - with over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 48%. Baltika Kaliningrad have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 Akron
Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron betting tips
- Tip 1: Baltika Kaliningrad win or draw (double chance) 81% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 54% by the model, 2.53 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 9.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron: questions and answers
When is Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron?
Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron is on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 14:30 UTC, in Russian Premier League Gameweek 13.
Where is Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron played?
At Kaliningrad Stadium, Kaliningrad, Baltika Kaliningrad's home ground.
Who will win Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron?
Baltika Kaliningrad are the favourites: Baltika Kaliningrad 55%, draw 26%, Akron 19%. Our prediction is Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 Akron.
Who is the player to watch in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron?
Marat Bokoev of Akron: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 31 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.