Rubin Kazan vs Fakel Prediction and Betting Tips | Russian Premier League Gameweek 13
Russian Premier League · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 12:15 UTC · Ak Bars Arena, Kazan' · updated 2026-10-25
Rubin Kazan welcome Fakel to Ak Bars Arena in Kazan' in Russian Premier League Gameweek 13 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 12:15 UTC.
Rubin Kazan have played 12 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 17% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate. Fakel have played 12 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 8% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Rubin Kazan are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 29% and Fakel at 26%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Rubin Kazan 1.38, Fakel 0.97.
- Over 2.5 goals: 42% · both teams to score: 47%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Rubin Kazan: form and key numbers
In style Rubin Kazan play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 0.99 a match created, 1.55 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.1).
- Shots: 10.2 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 47.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.66.
Fakel: form and key numbers
In style Fakel play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.05 a match created, 1.62 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.6).
- Shots: 10.9 a match, 2.4 on target.
- Possession: 46.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 42% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.66.
Rubin Kazan vs Fakel: season averages side by side
| Rubin Kazan | Per match this season | Fakel |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 0.7 |
| 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 0.99 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.05 |
| 1.55 | xG conceded | 1.62 |
| 10.2 | Shots | 10.9 |
| 3.0 | On target | 2.4 |
| 47.4 | Possession % | 46.7 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 75% | Both teams scored % | 42% |
| 3.6 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.66 | Average rating | 6.66 |
Players to watch
Rubin Kazan
- Jacques Siwe CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 23 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 2% of his position)
- Evgeniy Staver GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 23 · Dominant in the air, Box defender (top 25% of his position)
Fakel
- Axel Aymeric Gnapi Dable CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 28 · Takes high-quality shots, Dominant in the air (top 8% of his position)
- Matvey Bardachev CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 26 · Box defender, Ball-winner (top 26% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Egor Teslenko
Egor Teslenko, 25 · Rubin Kazan · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 30
Egor Teslenko, 25, plays as a centre-back for Rubin Kazan in the Russian Premier League. Strongest for his role in dribbled past and aerial duels won. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 30
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Dribbled past | 0.00 / 90 | 98% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.80 / 90 | 71% |
| Long balls | 4.16 / 90 | 67% |
| Interceptions | 2.14 / 90 | 63% |
| Blocked shots | 0.95 / 90 | 38% |
Roles he suits
- ★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- ★★ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★ Stopper Centre-back
Scout's notes: Hard to dribble past.
- What Egor Teslenko is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Egor Teslenko's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Rubin Kazan vs Fakel prediction
Rubin Kazan should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals - 1.38 for Rubin Kazan and 0.97 for Fakel - with over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams scoring at 47%. Rubin Kazan have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Rubin Kazan 2-0 Fakel
Rubin Kazan vs Fakel betting tips
- Tip 1: Rubin Kazan win or draw (double chance) 74% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 58% by the model, 2.35 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 8.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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- Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov Sunday 1 November 2026
- Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron Sunday 1 November 2026
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- Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit Monday 2 November 2026
Rubin Kazan vs Fakel: questions and answers
When is Rubin Kazan vs Fakel?
Rubin Kazan vs Fakel is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 12:15 UTC, in Russian Premier League Gameweek 13.
Where is Rubin Kazan vs Fakel played?
At Ak Bars Arena, Kazan', Rubin Kazan's home ground.
Who will win Rubin Kazan vs Fakel?
Rubin Kazan are the favourites: Rubin Kazan 45%, draw 29%, Fakel 26%. Our prediction is Rubin Kazan 2-0 Fakel.
Who is the player to watch in Rubin Kazan vs Fakel?
Egor Teslenko of Rubin Kazan: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 30 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Rubin Kazan vs Fakel?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.