Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit Prediction and Betting Tips | Russian Premier League Gameweek 13
Russian Premier League · Monday 2 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Samara Arena, Samara · updated 2026-10-25
Krylya Sovetov welcome Zenit to Samara Arena in Samara in Russian Premier League Gameweek 13 action on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Krylya Sovetov have played 12 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 33% win rate. Zenit have played 11 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 73% of them. Away from home they average 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 63% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Krylya Sovetov 33%, the draw 25%, Zenit 42%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Krylya Sovetov 1.40, Zenit 1.61.
- Over 2.5 goals: 58% · both teams to score: 61%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Krylya Sovetov: form and key numbers
In style Krylya Sovetov play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.51 a match created, 1.25 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.1).
- Shots: 14.1 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 48.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Zenit: form and key numbers
In style Zenit keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.65 a match created, 1.13 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.9).
- Shots: 15.4 a match, 5.7 on target.
- Possession: 58.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 36% of matches (75% away).
- Both teams scored in 55% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.94.
Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit: season averages side by side
| Krylya Sovetov | Per match this season | Zenit |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 2.3 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 1.51 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.65 |
| 1.25 | xG conceded | 1.13 |
| 14.1 | Shots | 15.4 |
| 4.8 | On target | 5.7 |
| 48.9 | Possession % | 58.5 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 36% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 55% |
| 4.0 | Corners | 5.6 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.79 | Average rating | 6.94 |
Players to watch
Krylya Sovetov
- Yuriy Gorshkov LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 26 · Gets into scoring positions, Hard to dribble past (top 35% of his position)
- Nikita Kokarev GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 22 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 64% of his position)
Zenit
- Aleksandr Sobolev CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 40 · Takes high-quality shots, Dominant in the air (top 9% of his position)
- Gustavo Mantuan RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 30 · Hard to dribble past, Crosser (top 11% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Maksim Glushenkov
Maksim Glushenkov, 27 · Zenit · SS · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 48
Maksim Glushenkov, 27, plays as a second striker for Zenit in the Russian Premier League. Strongest for his role in shots and goals. Weakest in expected assists (est.). Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average second striker, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- SS · Second striker Natural, 48
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 41
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 5.10 / 90 | 91% |
| Goals | 1.00 / 90 | 84% |
| Fouls won | 2.55 / 90 | 84% |
| Expected goals | 0.44 / 90 | 66% |
| Key passes | 2.22 / 90 | 53% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
- ★★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★½ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Clinical finisher, Draws fouls.
⚠ 9 goals from only 3.9 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Maksim Glushenkov is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Maksim Glushenkov's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit prediction
Zenit should have more of the ball, with Krylya Sovetov likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Krylya Sovetov go long and direct; Zenit work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.40 for Krylya Sovetov and 1.61 for Zenit - with over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 61%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Krylya Sovetov 1-1 Zenit
Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 42%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 58% by the model, 3.01 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 61% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Russian Premier League previews
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- Rodina Moskva vs Krasnodar Saturday 31 October 2026
- Orenburg vs CSKA Moskva Sunday 1 November 2026
- Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov Sunday 1 November 2026
- Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron Sunday 1 November 2026
- Lokomotiv Moskva vs Spartak Moskva Sunday 1 November 2026
Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit: questions and answers
When is Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit?
Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit is on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Russian Premier League Gameweek 13.
Where is Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit played?
At Samara Arena, Samara, Krylya Sovetov's home ground.
Who will win Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit?
It is close: Krylya Sovetov 33%, draw 25%, Zenit 42%. Our prediction is Krylya Sovetov 1-1 Zenit.
Who is the player to watch in Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit?
Maksim Glushenkov of Zenit: a shadow striker with a Moneyball Score of 48 against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Krylya Sovetov vs Zenit?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.