Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov Prediction and Betting Tips | Russian Premier League Gameweek 13
Russian Premier League · Sunday 1 November 2026 · 12:15 UTC · Anzhi-Arena, Kaspiysk · updated 2026-10-25
Dynamo Makhachkala welcome Rostov to Anzhi-Arena in Kaspiysk in Russian Premier League Gameweek 13 action on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 12:15 UTC.
Dynamo Makhachkala have played 11 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 36% of them. At home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. Rostov have played 12 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 7 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Dynamo Makhachkala are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 27% and Rostov at 29%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Dynamo Makhachkala 1.48, Rostov 1.15.
- Over 2.5 goals: 49% · both teams to score: 54%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Dynamo Makhachkala: form and key numbers
In style Dynamo Makhachkala are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.37 a match created, 1.23 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.9).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 45.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 9% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 73% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.68.
Rostov: form and key numbers
In style Rostov play long and direct, cross a lot, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.06 a match created, 1.18 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.3).
- Shots: 14.3 a match, 5.2 on target.
- Possession: 47.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 42% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov: season averages side by side
| Dynamo Makhachkala | Per match this season | Rostov |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 1.1 |
| 1.9 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 1.37 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.06 |
| 1.23 | xG conceded | 1.18 |
| 12.3 | Shots | 14.3 |
| 4.1 | On target | 5.2 |
| 45.7 | Possession % | 47.1 |
| 9% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 73% | Both teams scored % | 42% |
| 3.8 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.68 | Average rating | 6.81 |
Players to watch
Dynamo Makhachkala
- Makhmud Makhamadzhonov LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 22 · Reads the game, Dribbler (top 12% of his position)
- Nikita Glushkov CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 19 · Reads the game, Gets into scoring positions (top 25% of his position)
Rostov
- Oumar Sako CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 30 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 7% of his position)
- Andrey Langovich RB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 30 · Reads the game, Duel winner (top 12% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ygor Nogueira
Ygor Nogueira, 31 · Rostov · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 36
Ygor Nogueira, 31, plays as a centre-back for Rostov in the Russian Premier League. Strongest for his role in duels won and aerial duels won. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 36
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Duels won | 8.75 / 90 | 91% |
| Aerial duels won | 4.66 / 90 | 88% |
| Long balls | 4.47 / 90 | 75% |
| Dribbled past | 0.19 / 90 | 68% |
| Tackles | 2.19 / 90 | 52% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★ Box defender Centre-back
- ★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Duel winner, Dominant in the air.
- What Ygor Nogueira is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ygor Nogueira's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov prediction
Rostov should have more of the ball; Dynamo Makhachkala go long and direct; Rostov are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.48 for Dynamo Makhachkala and 1.15 for Rostov - with over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 54%. Dynamo Makhachkala have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Dynamo Makhachkala 2-1 Rostov
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov betting tips
- Tip 1: Dynamo Makhachkala win or draw (double chance) 71% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.63 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (49%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 8.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov: questions and answers
When is Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov?
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov is on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 12:15 UTC, in Russian Premier League Gameweek 13.
Where is Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov played?
At Anzhi-Arena, Kaspiysk, Dynamo Makhachkala's home ground.
Who will win Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov?
Dynamo Makhachkala are the favourites: Dynamo Makhachkala 44%, draw 27%, Rostov 29%. Our prediction is Dynamo Makhachkala 2-1 Rostov.
Who is the player to watch in Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov?
Ygor Nogueira of Rostov: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 36 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.