Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala Prediction and Betting Tips | Russian Premier League Gameweek 14
Russian Premier League · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Kaliningrad Stadium, Kaliningrad · updated 2026-10-25
Baltika Kaliningrad welcome Dynamo Makhachkala to Kaliningrad Stadium in Kaliningrad in Russian Premier League Gameweek 14 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
Baltika Kaliningrad have played 12 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 33% win rate. Dynamo Makhachkala have played 11 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 36% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Baltika Kaliningrad are narrow favourites at 51%, with the draw at 26% and Dynamo Makhachkala at 23%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Baltika Kaliningrad 1.62, Dynamo Makhachkala 1.02.
- Over 2.5 goals: 49% · both teams to score: 52%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Baltika Kaliningrad: form and key numbers
In style Baltika Kaliningrad are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.39 a match created, 0.95 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.7).
- Shots: 12.5 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 40.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (25% at home).
- Both teams scored in 58% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Dynamo Makhachkala: form and key numbers
In style Dynamo Makhachkala are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.37 a match created, 1.23 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.9).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 45.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 9% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 73% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.68.
Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala: season averages side by side
| Baltika Kaliningrad | Per match this season | Dynamo Makhachkala |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.9 |
| 1.39 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.37 |
| 0.95 | xG conceded | 1.23 |
| 12.5 | Shots | 12.3 |
| 4.1 | On target | 4.1 |
| 40.4 | Possession % | 45.7 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 9% |
| 58% | Both teams scored % | 73% |
| 4.9 | Corners | 3.8 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.77 | Average rating | 6.68 |
Players to watch
Baltika Kaliningrad
- Vladislav Pospelov WMF · Two-way wide midfielder · Moneyball Score 30 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 21% of his position)
- Nathan Gassama CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 29 · Hard to dribble past, Dominant in the air (top 10% of his position)
Dynamo Makhachkala
- Makhmud Makhamadzhonov LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 22 · Reads the game, Dribbler (top 12% of his position)
- Nikita Glushkov CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 19 · Reads the game, Gets into scoring positions (top 25% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Brayan Gil
Brayan Gil, 25 · Baltika Kaliningrad · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 30
Brayan Gil, 25, plays as a centre-forward for Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russian Premier League. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and shots on target. Weakest in shots. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 30
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 27
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 xG/shot | 94% |
| Shots on target | 53% | 79% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.87 / 90 | 69% |
| Expected goals | 0.56 / 90 | 34% |
| Big chances missed | 0.45 / 90 | 24% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★ Target man Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots.
- What Brayan Gil is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Brayan Gil's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala prediction
Dynamo Makhachkala should have more of the ball; Baltika Kaliningrad are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Dynamo Makhachkala go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.62 for Baltika Kaliningrad and 1.02 for Dynamo Makhachkala - with over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 52%. Baltika Kaliningrad have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 Dynamo Makhachkala
Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala betting tips
- Tip 1: Baltika Kaliningrad win or draw (double chance) 77% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.64 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (49%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 8.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Russian Premier League previews
- Zenit vs Dynamo Makhachkala Sunday 25 October 2026
- Rubin Kazan vs Fakel Saturday 31 October 2026
- Dinamo Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny Saturday 31 October 2026
- Rodina Moskva vs Krasnodar Saturday 31 October 2026
- Orenburg vs CSKA Moskva Sunday 1 November 2026
- Dynamo Makhachkala vs Rostov Sunday 1 November 2026
- Baltika Kaliningrad vs Akron Sunday 1 November 2026
- Lokomotiv Moskva vs Spartak Moskva Sunday 1 November 2026
Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala: questions and answers
When is Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala?
Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC, in Russian Premier League Gameweek 14.
Where is Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala played?
At Kaliningrad Stadium, Kaliningrad, Baltika Kaliningrad's home ground.
Who will win Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala?
Baltika Kaliningrad are the favourites: Baltika Kaliningrad 51%, draw 26%, Dynamo Makhachkala 23%. Our prediction is Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 Dynamo Makhachkala.
Who is the player to watch in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala?
Brayan Gil of Baltika Kaliningrad: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 30 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dynamo Makhachkala?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 49%.
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.