Beşiktaş vs Gençlerbirliği Prediction and Betting Tips | Süper Lig Gameweek 11
Süper Lig · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Beşiktaş Stadium, İstanbul · updated 2026-10-25
Beşiktaş welcome Gençlerbirliği to Beşiktaş Stadium in İstanbul in Süper Lig Gameweek 11 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 18:00 UTC.
Beşiktaş have played 8 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 63% of them. At home they average 3.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 80% win rate. Gençlerbirliği have played 9 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 22% of them. Away from home they average 0.3 goals scored and 2.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Beşiktaş are clear favourites at 72%, with the draw at 17% and Gençlerbirliği at 10%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Beşiktaş 2.45, Gençlerbirliği 0.83.
- Over 2.5 goals: 64% · both teams to score: 52%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Beşiktaş: form and key numbers
In style Beşiktaş keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.76 a match created, 0.88 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.9).
- Shots: 17.8 a match, 6.4 on target.
- Possession: 61.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
Gençlerbirliği: form and key numbers
In style Gençlerbirliği are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.15 a match created, 2.10 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.3).
- Shots: 12.1 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 43.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 11% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 44% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Beşiktaş vs Gençlerbirliği: season averages side by side
| Beşiktaş | Per match this season | Gençlerbirliği |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 9 |
| 2.0 | Goals scored | 0.8 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 1.76 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.15 |
| 0.88 | xG conceded | 2.10 |
| 17.8 | Shots | 12.1 |
| 6.4 | On target | 3.7 |
| 61.9 | Possession % | 43.3 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 11% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 44% |
| 7.5 | Corners | 5.0 |
| 2.5 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.92 | Average rating | 6.75 |
Players to watch
Beşiktaş
- Dušan Vlahović CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 39 · Accurate shooter, Takes high-quality shots (top 2% of his position)
- Orkun Kökçü CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 34 · Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator (top 10% of his position)
Gençlerbirliği
- İrfan Can Eğribayat GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 38 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 38% of his position)
- Tiago Gouveia RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 34 · Crosser, Dribbler (top 13% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Salih Özcan
Salih Özcan, 28 · Beşiktaş · DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 41
Salih Özcan, 28, plays as a defensive midfielder for Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in pass accuracy and tackles. Weakest in fouls committed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 41
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Pass accuracy | 93% | 97% |
| Tackles | 3.53 / 90 | 71% |
| Long balls | 3.67 / 90 | 63% |
| Duels won | 6.91 / 90 | 61% |
| Dispossessed | 0.28 / 90 | 60% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★★★ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
- ★★★ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Secure passer.
- What Salih Özcan is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Salih Özcan's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Beşiktaş vs Gençlerbirliği prediction
Beşiktaş should have more of the ball, with Gençlerbirliği likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 2.45 for Beşiktaş and 0.83 for Gençlerbirliği - with over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 52%. Beşiktaş have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Beşiktaş 2-1 Gençlerbirliği
Beşiktaş vs Gençlerbirliği betting tips
- Tip 1: Beşiktaş to win 72% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 64% by the model, 3.28 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 12.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Süper Lig previews
- Göztepe vs Çorum FK Sunday 25 October 2026
- Beşiktaş vs İstanbul Başakşehir Monday 26 October 2026
- Rizespor vs Trabzonspor Monday 26 October 2026
- Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe Monday 26 October 2026
- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray Friday 30 October 2026
- Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK Saturday 31 October 2026
- Kocaelispor vs Rizespor Saturday 31 October 2026
- Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe Saturday 31 October 2026
Beşiktaş vs Gençlerbirliği: questions and answers
When is Beşiktaş vs Gençlerbirliği?
Beşiktaş vs Gençlerbirliği is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 18:00 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 11.
Where is Beşiktaş vs Gençlerbirliği played?
At Beşiktaş Stadium, İstanbul, Beşiktaş's home ground.
Who will win Beşiktaş vs Gençlerbirliği?
Beşiktaş are the favourites: Beşiktaş 72%, draw 17%, Gençlerbirliği 10%. Our prediction is Beşiktaş 2-1 Gençlerbirliği.
Who is the player to watch in Beşiktaş vs Gençlerbirliği?
Salih Özcan of Beşiktaş: a deep-lying playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 41 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Beşiktaş vs Gençlerbirliği?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.