Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City Prediction and Betting Tips | Championship Gameweek 14
Championship · Tuesday 3 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Ewood Park, Blackburn · updated 2026-10-25
Blackburn Rovers welcome Stoke City to Ewood Park in Blackburn in Championship Gameweek 14 action on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Blackburn Rovers have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 42% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 80% win rate. Stoke City have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Blackburn Rovers are narrow favourites at 42%, with the draw at 27% and Stoke City at 31%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Blackburn Rovers 1.48, Stoke City 1.24.
- Over 2.5 goals: 51% · both teams to score: 56%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Blackburn Rovers: form and key numbers
In style Blackburn Rovers play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.04 a match created, 1.79 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.5).
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 48.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
Stoke City: form and key numbers
In style Stoke City are happy without the ball, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 0.97 a match created, 1.57 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.3).
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 45.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (25% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City: season averages side by side
| Blackburn Rovers | Per match this season | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 1.04 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.97 |
| 1.79 | xG conceded | 1.57 |
| 11.6 | Shots | 11.4 |
| 4.1 | On target | 3.5 |
| 48.7 | Possession % | 45.8 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 75% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 6.3 | Corners | 4.4 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.80 | Average rating | 6.77 |
Players to watch
Blackburn Rovers
- Jayden Fevrier RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 49 · High shot volume, Big-chance creator (top 18% of his position)
- Sean McLoughlin CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 41 · Blocks shots, Box defender (top 9% of his position)
Stoke City
- Sorba Thomas LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 40 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 3% of his position)
- Luca Bombino LWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 40 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Kristi Montgomery
Kristi Montgomery, 22 · Blackburn Rovers · DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 44
Kristi Montgomery, 22, plays as a defensive midfielder for Blackburn Rovers in the Championship. Strongest for his role in tackles and dispossessed. Weakest in long balls. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 44
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 40
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 34
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Tackles | 3.37 / 90 | 80% |
| Dispossessed | 0.29 / 90 | 72% |
| Interceptions | 2.12 / 90 | 67% |
| Duels won | 6.17 / 90 | 63% |
| Fouls committed | 0.96 / 90 | 50% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
- ★★★½ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
- ★★★ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Ball-winner.
- What Kristi Montgomery is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Kristi Montgomery's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City prediction
Blackburn Rovers should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.48 for Blackburn Rovers and 1.24 for Stoke City - with over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 56%. Blackburn Rovers have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Stoke City
Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City betting tips
- Tip 1: Blackburn Rovers win or draw (double chance) 69% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.72 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (51%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 56% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 10.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Championship previews
- Sheffield United vs Wrexham Friday 30 October 2026
- Stoke City vs Preston North End Saturday 31 October 2026
- Norwich City vs Watford Saturday 31 October 2026
- Lincoln City vs Birmingham City Saturday 31 October 2026
- Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City Saturday 31 October 2026
- West Ham United vs West Bromwich Albion Saturday 31 October 2026
- Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers Saturday 31 October 2026
- Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers Saturday 31 October 2026
Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City: questions and answers
When is Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City?
Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City is on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 14.
Where is Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City played?
At Ewood Park, Blackburn, Blackburn Rovers's home ground.
Who will win Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City?
Blackburn Rovers are the favourites: Blackburn Rovers 42%, draw 27%, Stoke City 31%. Our prediction is Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Stoke City.
Who is the player to watch in Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City?
Kristi Montgomery of Blackburn Rovers: a ball-winner with a Moneyball Score of 44 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Tags
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