Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City Prediction and Betting Tips | Championship Gameweek 13
Championship · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton · updated 2026-10-25
Wolverhampton Wanderers welcome Cardiff City to Molineux Stadium in Wolverhampton in Championship Gameweek 13 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Wolverhampton Wanderers have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate. Cardiff City have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Wolverhampton Wanderers are narrow favourites at 49%, with the draw at 24% and Cardiff City at 27%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.83, Cardiff City 1.31.
- Over 2.5 goals: 61% · both teams to score: 62%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Wolverhampton Wanderers: form and key numbers
In style Wolverhampton Wanderers keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.72 a match created, 0.93 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.6).
- Shots: 16.8 a match, 4.2 on target.
- Possession: 54.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.84.
Cardiff City: form and key numbers
In style Cardiff City keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 2.04 a match created, 1.54 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.4).
- Shots: 16.9 a match, 5.9 on target.
- Possession: 60.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 8% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City: season averages side by side
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Per match this season | Cardiff City |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.7 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 1.72 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.04 |
| 0.93 | xG conceded | 1.54 |
| 16.8 | Shots | 16.9 |
| 4.2 | On target | 5.9 |
| 54.9 | Possession % | 60.8 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 8% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 75% |
| 7.1 | Corners | 6.8 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.84 | Average rating | 6.92 |
Players to watch
Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Raúl Jiménez CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 52 · Rarely wastes a big chance, Duel winner (top 14% of his position)
- Mateus Mané LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 49 · Chance creator, Crosser (top 25% of his position)
Cardiff City
- Chris Willock LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 50 · Crosser, Creator (top 14% of his position)
- Yousef Salech CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 47 · Dominant in the air, Takes high-quality shots (top 14% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Alex Robertson
Alex Robertson, 23 · Cardiff City · CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 52
Alex Robertson, 23, plays as a central midfielder for Cardiff City in the Championship. Strongest for his role in interceptions and dispossessed. Weakest in tackles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 52
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 50
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 40
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions | 1.85 / 90 | 86% |
| Dispossessed | 0.34 / 90 | 85% |
| Long balls | 3.70 / 90 | 83% |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | 78% |
| Passes | 68.62 / 90 | 69% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★★★ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Reads the game, Press-resistant, Long passer.
- What Alex Robertson is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Alex Robertson's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City prediction
Cardiff City should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.83 for Wolverhampton Wanderers and 1.31 for Cardiff City - with over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 62%. Wolverhampton Wanderers have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 Cardiff City
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City betting tips
- Tip 1: Wolverhampton Wanderers win or draw (double chance) 73% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 61% by the model, 3.14 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 62% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.6 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 13.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City: questions and answers
When is Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City?
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 13.
Where is Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City played?
At Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, Wolverhampton Wanderers's home ground.
Who will win Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City?
Wolverhampton Wanderers are the favourites: Wolverhampton Wanderers 49%, draw 24%, Cardiff City 27%. Our prediction is Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 Cardiff City.
Who is the player to watch in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City?
Alex Robertson of Cardiff City: a playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 52 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.