Sheffield United vs Wrexham Prediction and Betting Tips | Championship Gameweek 13
Championship · Friday 30 October 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Bramall Lane, Sheffield · updated 2026-10-25
Sheffield United welcome Wrexham to Bramall Lane in Sheffield in Championship Gameweek 13 action on Friday 30 October 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Sheffield United have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate. Wrexham have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over 6 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Sheffield United 42%, the draw 28%, Wrexham 31%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Sheffield United 1.42, Wrexham 1.18.
- Over 2.5 goals: 48% · both teams to score: 53%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Sheffield United: form and key numbers
In style Sheffield United are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.29 a match created, 1.56 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.5).
- Shots: 10.7 a match, 3.8 on target.
- Possession: 43.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 58% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Wrexham: form and key numbers
In style Wrexham play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.32 a match created, 1.23 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.8).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 49.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Sheffield United vs Wrexham: season averages side by side
| Sheffield United | Per match this season | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.3 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 1.29 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.32 |
| 1.56 | xG conceded | 1.23 |
| 10.7 | Shots | 12.3 |
| 3.8 | On target | 3.4 |
| 43.2 | Possession % | 49.6 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 58% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 3.6 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 6.76 | Average rating | 6.79 |
Players to watch
Sheffield United
- Michael Cooper GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 50 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 7% of his position)
- Patrick Bamford CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 39 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 1% of his position)
Wrexham
- Kieffer Moore CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 39 · Duel winner, Dominant in the air (top 1% of his position)
- Callum Doyle CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 35 · Disciplined, Duel winner (top 27% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Kalvin Phillips
Kalvin Phillips, 30 · Sheffield United · DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 42
Kalvin Phillips, 30, plays as a defensive midfielder for Sheffield United in the Championship. Strongest for his role in duels won and tackles. Weakest in pass accuracy. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 42
- CM · Central midfielder Accomplished, 37
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Duels won | 8.20 / 90 | 87% |
| Tackles | 3.59 / 90 | 79% |
| Blocked shots | 0.68 / 90 | 65% |
| Interceptions | 2.22 / 90 | 64% |
| Long balls | 2.90 / 90 | 56% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
- ★★★★ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
- ★★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Duel winner.
- What Kalvin Phillips is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Kalvin Phillips's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Sheffield United vs Wrexham prediction
Wrexham should have more of the ball, with Sheffield United likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.42 for Sheffield United and 1.18 for Wrexham - with over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 53%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Sheffield United 1-1 Wrexham
Sheffield United vs Wrexham betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 42%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.60 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (48%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 9.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Sheffield United vs Wrexham: questions and answers
When is Sheffield United vs Wrexham?
Sheffield United vs Wrexham is on Friday 30 October 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 13.
Where is Sheffield United vs Wrexham played?
At Bramall Lane, Sheffield, Sheffield United's home ground.
Who will win Sheffield United vs Wrexham?
It is close: Sheffield United 42%, draw 28%, Wrexham 31%. Our prediction is Sheffield United 1-1 Wrexham.
Who is the player to watch in Sheffield United vs Wrexham?
Kalvin Phillips of Sheffield United: a ball-winner with a Moneyball Score of 42 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Sheffield United vs Wrexham?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.