Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers Prediction and Betting Tips | Championship Gameweek 13
Championship · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea · updated 2026-10-25
Swansea City welcome Blackburn Rovers to Swansea.com Stadium in Swansea in Championship Gameweek 13 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Swansea City have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 58% of them. At home they average 1.2 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 43% win rate. Blackburn Rovers have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 42% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 20% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Swansea City are narrow favourites at 49%, with the draw at 26% and Blackburn Rovers at 25%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Swansea City 1.63, Blackburn Rovers 1.09.
- Over 2.5 goals: 51% · both teams to score: 54%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Swansea City: form and key numbers
In style Swansea City keep the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.44 a match created, 1.39 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.3).
- Shots: 11.8 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 59.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 42% of matches (60% at home).
- Both teams scored in 42% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.82.
Blackburn Rovers: form and key numbers
In style Blackburn Rovers play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.04 a match created, 1.79 conceded (goals minus xG: +6.5).
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 4.1 on target.
- Possession: 48.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers: season averages side by side
| Swansea City | Per match this season | Blackburn Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 1.44 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.04 |
| 1.39 | xG conceded | 1.79 |
| 11.8 | Shots | 11.6 |
| 4.3 | On target | 4.1 |
| 59.4 | Possession % | 48.7 |
| 42% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 42% | Both teams scored % | 75% |
| 4.3 | Corners | 6.3 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
| 6.82 | Average rating | 6.80 |
Players to watch
Swansea City
- Josh Key RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 39 · Chance creator, Crosser (top 23% of his position)
- Josh Tymon LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 39 · Crosser, Hard to dribble past (top 2% of his position)
Blackburn Rovers
- Jayden Fevrier RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 49 · High shot volume, Big-chance creator (top 18% of his position)
- Sean McLoughlin CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 41 · Blocks shots, Box defender (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Kristi Montgomery
Kristi Montgomery, 22 · Blackburn Rovers · DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 44
Kristi Montgomery, 22, plays as a defensive midfielder for Blackburn Rovers in the Championship. Strongest for his role in tackles and dispossessed. Weakest in long balls. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 44
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 40
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 34
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Tackles | 3.37 / 90 | 80% |
| Dispossessed | 0.29 / 90 | 72% |
| Interceptions | 2.12 / 90 | 67% |
| Duels won | 6.17 / 90 | 63% |
| Fouls committed | 0.96 / 90 | 50% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
- ★★★½ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
- ★★★ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Ball-winner.
- What Kristi Montgomery is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Kristi Montgomery's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers prediction
Swansea City should have more of the ball, with Blackburn Rovers likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Blackburn Rovers are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.63 for Swansea City and 1.09 for Blackburn Rovers - with over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 54%. Swansea City have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Swansea City 2-1 Blackburn Rovers
Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers betting tips
- Tip 1: Swansea City win or draw (double chance) 75% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.72 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (51%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 9.5 corners 10.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers: questions and answers
When is Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers?
Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 13.
Where is Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers played?
At Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea, Swansea City's home ground.
Who will win Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers?
Swansea City are the favourites: Swansea City 49%, draw 26%, Blackburn Rovers 25%. Our prediction is Swansea City 2-1 Blackburn Rovers.
Who is the player to watch in Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers?
Kristi Montgomery of Blackburn Rovers: a ball-winner with a Moneyball Score of 44 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.