Cardiff City vs West Ham United Prediction and Betting Tips | Championship Gameweek 14
Championship · Wednesday 4 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff · updated 2026-10-25
Cardiff City welcome West Ham United to Cardiff City Stadium in Cardiff in Championship Gameweek 14 action on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Cardiff City have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 100% win rate. West Ham United have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 2.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, West Ham United are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 22% and Cardiff City at 33%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Cardiff City 1.72, West Ham United 2.05.
- Over 2.5 goals: 73% · both teams to score: 72%.
- Most likely score: 1–3 (6%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Cardiff City: form and key numbers
In style Cardiff City keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 2.04 a match created, 1.54 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.4).
- Shots: 16.9 a match, 5.9 on target.
- Possession: 60.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 8% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
West Ham United: form and key numbers
In style West Ham United keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.27 a match created, 1.30 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.8).
- Shots: 17.3 a match, 6.5 on target.
- Possession: 57.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.98.
Cardiff City vs West Ham United: season averages side by side
| Cardiff City | Per match this season | West Ham United |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 2.7 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 2.04 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.27 |
| 1.54 | xG conceded | 1.30 |
| 16.9 | Shots | 17.3 |
| 5.9 | On target | 6.5 |
| 60.8 | Possession % | 57.8 |
| 8% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 75% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 6.8 | Corners | 6.8 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.92 | Average rating | 6.98 |
Players to watch
Cardiff City
- Alex Robertson CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 52 · Reads the game, Press-resistant (top 14% of his position)
- Chris Willock LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 50 · Crosser, Creator (top 14% of his position)
West Ham United
- Arne Engels CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 44 · Press-resistant, Secure passer (top 19% of his position)
- Oliver Scarles LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 41 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 21% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Jarrod Bowen
Jarrod Bowen, 29 · West Ham United · RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 68
Jarrod Bowen, 29, plays as a winger for West Ham United in the Championship. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and expected goals. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 68
- RM · Wide midfielder Natural, 65
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 65
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 2.10 / 90 | 97% |
| Expected goals | 0.60 / 90 | 96% |
| Big chances created | 0.84 / 90 | 94% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.42 / 90 | 94% |
| Shots | 4.03 / 90 | 90% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
Scout's notes: Crosser, Gets into scoring positions, Big-chance creator.
- What Jarrod Bowen is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Jarrod Bowen's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Cardiff City vs West Ham United prediction
Cardiff City should have more of the ball; Cardiff City are a threat in the air and from set pieces; West Ham United work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals - 1.72 for Cardiff City and 2.05 for West Ham United - with over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 72%. West Ham United have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Cardiff City 1-3 West Ham United
Cardiff City vs West Ham United betting tips
- Tip 1: West Ham United win or draw (double chance) 67% between them
- Tip 2: Over 3.5 goals 52% by the model, 3.77 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 72% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 13.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Championship previews
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- Stoke City vs Preston North End Saturday 31 October 2026
- Norwich City vs Watford Saturday 31 October 2026
- Lincoln City vs Birmingham City Saturday 31 October 2026
- Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City Saturday 31 October 2026
- West Ham United vs West Bromwich Albion Saturday 31 October 2026
- Swansea City vs Blackburn Rovers Saturday 31 October 2026
- Southampton vs Queens Park Rangers Saturday 31 October 2026
Cardiff City vs West Ham United: questions and answers
When is Cardiff City vs West Ham United?
Cardiff City vs West Ham United is on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 14.
Where is Cardiff City vs West Ham United played?
At Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff, Cardiff City's home ground.
Who will win Cardiff City vs West Ham United?
West Ham United are the favourites: Cardiff City 33%, draw 22%, West Ham United 45%. Our prediction is Cardiff City 1-3 West Ham United.
Who is the player to watch in Cardiff City vs West Ham United?
Jarrod Bowen of West Ham United: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 68 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff City vs West Ham United?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 73%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.