Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction and Betting Tips | Championship Gameweek 14
Championship · Tuesday 3 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · The Valley, London · updated 2026-10-25
Charlton Athletic welcome Bolton Wanderers to The Valley in London in Championship Gameweek 14 action on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Charlton Athletic have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 67% win rate. Bolton Wanderers have played 12 matches in the Championship this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Charlton Athletic are narrow favourites at 43%, with the draw at 26% and Bolton Wanderers at 32%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Charlton Athletic 1.58, Bolton Wanderers 1.33.
- Over 2.5 goals: 55% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Charlton Athletic: form and key numbers
In style Charlton Athletic are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.13 a match created, 1.63 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.6).
- Shots: 10.0 a match, 3.0 on target.
- Possession: 41.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 58% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.69.
Bolton Wanderers: form and key numbers
In style Bolton Wanderers play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.37 a match created, 2.00 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.4).
- Shots: 13.7 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 49.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 58% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.1 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers: season averages side by side
| Charlton Athletic | Per match this season | Bolton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 0.9 | Goals scored | 1.3 |
| 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.9 |
| 1.13 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.37 |
| 1.63 | xG conceded | 2.00 |
| 10.0 | Shots | 13.7 |
| 3.0 | On target | 4.7 |
| 41.6 | Possession % | 49.3 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 58% | Both teams scored % | 58% |
| 4.4 | Corners | 5.1 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
| 6.69 | Average rating | 6.77 |
Players to watch
Charlton Athletic
- Billy Koumetio CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 41 · Dominant in the air, Blocks shots (top 9% of his position)
- Lloyd Jones CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 39 · Hard to dribble past, Dominant in the air (top 3% of his position)
Bolton Wanderers
- Rúben Rodrigues AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 53 · Chance creator, Draws fouls (top 14% of his position)
- Gavin Bazunu GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 49 · Long passer, Dominant in the air (top 23% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Chris Forino
Chris Forino, 26 · Bolton Wanderers · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 56
Chris Forino, 26, plays as a centre-back for Bolton Wanderers in the Championship. Strongest for his role in fouls committed and duels won. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 56
- DM · Defensive midfielder Competent, 44
- LB · Full-back Competent, 27
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Fouls committed | 0.33 / 90 | 85% |
| Duels won | 7.67 / 90 | 83% |
| Tackles | 2.67 / 90 | 79% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.67 / 90 | 77% |
| Interceptions | 2.17 / 90 | 73% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★★ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★★★ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Disciplined, Duel winner.
- What Chris Forino is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Chris Forino's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers prediction
Bolton Wanderers should have more of the ball, with Charlton Athletic likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.58 for Charlton Athletic and 1.33 for Bolton Wanderers - with over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 59%. Charlton Athletic have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Charlton Athletic 2-1 Bolton Wanderers
Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers betting tips
- Tip 1: Charlton Athletic win or draw (double chance) 68% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 55% by the model, 2.90 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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- Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff City Saturday 31 October 2026
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Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers: questions and answers
When is Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers?
Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers is on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Championship Gameweek 14.
Where is Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers played?
At The Valley, London, Charlton Athletic's home ground.
Who will win Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers?
Charlton Athletic are the favourites: Charlton Athletic 43%, draw 26%, Bolton Wanderers 32%. Our prediction is Charlton Athletic 2-1 Bolton Wanderers.
Who is the player to watch in Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers?
Chris Forino of Bolton Wanderers: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 56 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Tags
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