Deportivo A Coruña vs Osasuna Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 11
La Liga · Monday 2 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruña · updated 2026-10-19
Deportivo A Coruña welcome Osasuna to Estadio Municipal de Riazor in La Coruña in La Liga Gameweek 11 action on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Deportivo A Coruña have played 9 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 22% of them. At home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. Osasuna have played 9 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 3.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Deportivo A Coruña are narrow favourites at 50%, with the draw at 26% and Osasuna at 24%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Deportivo A Coruña 1.68, Osasuna 1.09.
- Over 2.5 goals: 52% · both teams to score: 55%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Deportivo A Coruña: form and key numbers
In style Deportivo A Coruña play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.29 a match created, 1.14 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.4).
- Shots: 11.7 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 48.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 89% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Osasuna: form and key numbers
In style Osasuna are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.52 a match created, 1.40 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.7).
- Shots: 10.8 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 45.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 44% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.66.
Deportivo A Coruña vs Osasuna: season averages side by side
| Deportivo A Coruña | Per match this season | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 1.1 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 1.29 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.52 |
| 1.14 | xG conceded | 1.40 |
| 11.7 | Shots | 10.8 |
| 4.3 | On target | 4.3 |
| 48.0 | Possession % | 45.7 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 89% | Both teams scored % | 44% |
| 5.2 | Corners | 3.6 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 2.7 |
| 6.75 | Average rating | 6.66 |
Players to watch
Deportivo A Coruña
- Yeremay Hernández LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 66 · Dribbler, Gets into scoring positions (top 5% of his position)
- Lorenzo Amatucci DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 64 · Ball-winner, Blocks shots (top 7% of his position)
Osasuna
- Rubén García RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 55 · Press-resistant, Crosser (top 5% of his position)
- Alejandro Catena CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 50 · Hard to dribble past, Long passer (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ante Budimir
Ante Budimir, 35 · Osasuna · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 81
Ante Budimir, 35, plays as a centre-forward for Osasuna in La Liga. Strongest for his role in duels won and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 81
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Duels won | 8.18 / 90 | 100% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.24 xG/shot | 98% |
| Expected goals | 0.77 / 90 | 94% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.83 / 90 | 93% |
| Shots on target | 58% | 90% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
Scout's notes: Duel winner, Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions.
- What Ante Budimir is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ante Budimir's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Deportivo A Coruña vs Osasuna prediction
Deportivo A Coruña should have more of the ball; both go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.68 for Deportivo A Coruña and 1.09 for Osasuna - with over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 55%. Deportivo A Coruña have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Deportivo A Coruña 1-0 Osasuna
Deportivo A Coruña vs Osasuna betting tips
- Tip 1: Deportivo A Coruña win or draw (double chance) 76% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.77 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (52%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 8.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More La Liga previews
- Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga Friday 23 October 2026
- Valencia vs Villarreal Saturday 24 October 2026
- Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo A Coruña Saturday 24 October 2026
- Real Sociedad vs Levante Sunday 25 October 2026
- FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid Sunday 25 October 2026
- Sevilla vs Osasuna Monday 26 October 2026
- Villarreal vs Espanyol Friday 30 October 2026
- Levante vs Atlético de Madrid Saturday 31 October 2026
Deportivo A Coruña vs Osasuna: questions and answers
When is Deportivo A Coruña vs Osasuna?
Deportivo A Coruña vs Osasuna is on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 11.
Where is Deportivo A Coruña vs Osasuna played?
At Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruña, Deportivo A Coruña's home ground.
Who will win Deportivo A Coruña vs Osasuna?
Deportivo A Coruña are the favourites: Deportivo A Coruña 50%, draw 26%, Osasuna 24%. Our prediction is Deportivo A Coruña 1-0 Osasuna.
Who is the player to watch in Deportivo A Coruña vs Osasuna?
Ante Budimir of Osasuna: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 81 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo A Coruña vs Osasuna?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.