Espanyol vs Deportivo A Coruña Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 12
La Liga · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 15:15 UTC · RCDE Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat · updated 2026-10-24
Espanyol welcome Deportivo A Coruña to RCDE Stadium in Cornella de Llobregat in La Liga Gameweek 12 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:15 UTC.
Espanyol have played 9 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 22% of them. At home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. Deportivo A Coruña have played 9 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 22% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Espanyol 39%, the draw 29%, Deportivo A Coruña 32%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Espanyol 1.29, Deportivo A Coruña 1.13.
- Over 2.5 goals: 43% · both teams to score: 50%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (14%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Espanyol: form and key numbers
In style Espanyol play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.32 a match created, 1.20 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.9).
- Shots: 12.7 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 46.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.3 a match.
- Discipline: 3.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Deportivo A Coruña: form and key numbers
In style Deportivo A Coruña play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.29 a match created, 1.14 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.4).
- Shots: 11.7 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 48.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 89% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Espanyol vs Deportivo A Coruña: season averages side by side
| Espanyol | Per match this season | Deportivo A Coruña |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.2 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 1.32 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.29 |
| 1.20 | xG conceded | 1.14 |
| 12.7 | Shots | 11.7 |
| 3.7 | On target | 4.3 |
| 46.3 | Possession % | 48.0 |
| 22% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 89% |
| 2.3 | Corners | 5.2 |
| 3.1 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.73 | Average rating | 6.75 |
Players to watch
Espanyol
- Edu Expósito CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 61 · Creator, Dribbler (top 6% of his position)
- Roberto Fernández CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 59 · Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions (top 9% of his position)
Deportivo A Coruña
- Lorenzo Amatucci DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 64 · Ball-winner, Blocks shots (top 8% of his position)
- Luismi Cruz RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 61 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 4% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Yeremay Hernández
Yeremay Hernández, 23 · Deportivo A Coruña · LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 66
Yeremay Hernández, 23, plays as a winger for Deportivo A Coruña in La Liga. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and expected goals. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 66
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 64
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 62
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 3.81 / 90 | 96% |
| Expected goals | 0.36 / 90 | 80% |
| Key passes | 2.18 / 90 | 78% |
| Fouls won | 1.90 / 90 | 68% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.22 / 90 | 62% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★★ Classic winger Winger
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Gets into scoring positions.
- What Yeremay Hernández is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Yeremay Hernández's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Espanyol vs Deportivo A Coruña prediction
Deportivo A Coruña should have more of the ball; both go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals - 1.29 for Espanyol and 1.13 for Deportivo A Coruña - with over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams scoring at 50%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Espanyol 1-1 Deportivo A Coruña
Espanyol vs Deportivo A Coruña betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 39%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 57% by the model, 2.42 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 8.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 7.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More La Liga previews
- Valencia vs Villarreal Saturday 24 October 2026
- Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo A Coruña Saturday 24 October 2026
- Real Sociedad vs Levante Sunday 25 October 2026
- FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid Sunday 25 October 2026
- Sevilla vs Osasuna Monday 26 October 2026
- Villarreal vs Espanyol Friday 30 October 2026
- Levante vs Atlético de Madrid Saturday 31 October 2026
- Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo Saturday 31 October 2026
Espanyol vs Deportivo A Coruña: questions and answers
When is Espanyol vs Deportivo A Coruña?
Espanyol vs Deportivo A Coruña is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:15 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 12.
Where is Espanyol vs Deportivo A Coruña played?
At RCDE Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat, Espanyol's home ground.
Who will win Espanyol vs Deportivo A Coruña?
It is close: Espanyol 39%, draw 29%, Deportivo A Coruña 32%. Our prediction is Espanyol 1-1 Deportivo A Coruña.
Who is the player to watch in Espanyol vs Deportivo A Coruña?
Yeremay Hernández of Deportivo A Coruña: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 66 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Espanyol vs Deportivo A Coruña?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.