Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction and Betting Tips | Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Eredivisie · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam · updated 2026-10-25
Excelsior welcome Go Ahead Eagles to Van Donge & De Roo Stadion in Rotterdam in Eredivisie Gameweek 12 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Excelsior have played 10 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 30% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 33% win rate. Go Ahead Eagles have played 10 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 30% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Excelsior 40%, the draw 23%, Go Ahead Eagles 37%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Excelsior 1.84, Go Ahead Eagles 1.78.
- Over 2.5 goals: 70% · both teams to score: 70%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (5%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Excelsior: form and key numbers
In style Excelsior are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.36 a match created, 1.79 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.4).
- Shots: 10.7 a match, 3.8 on target.
- Possession: 44.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Go Ahead Eagles: form and key numbers
In style Go Ahead Eagles keep the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.80 a match created, 1.77 conceded (goals minus xG: +5.0).
- Shots: 15.7 a match, 6.3 on target.
- Possession: 54.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.1 a match.
- Discipline: 0.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles: season averages side by side
| Excelsior | Per match this season | Go Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 10 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 2.3 |
| 1.9 | Goals conceded | 2.3 |
| 1.36 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.80 |
| 1.79 | xG conceded | 1.77 |
| 10.7 | Shots | 15.7 |
| 3.8 | On target | 6.3 |
| 44.0 | Possession % | 54.1 |
| 20% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 60% | Both teams scored % | 100% |
| 3.8 | Corners | 6.1 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 0.8 |
| 6.76 | Average rating | 6.80 |
Players to watch
Excelsior
- Irakli Yegoian WF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 39 · Big-chance creator, Crosser (top 18% of his position)
- Casper Widell CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 36 · Dominant in the air, Blocks shots (top 13% of his position)
Go Ahead Eagles
- Melle Meulensteen CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 45 · Press-resistant, Dribbler (top 10% of his position)
- Søren Tengstedt RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 36 · Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume (top 29% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson
Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson, 25 · Go Ahead Eagles · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 49
Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson, 25, plays as a centre-forward for Go Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and expected goals. Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 49
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 44
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 4.24 / 90 | 83% |
| Expected goals | 0.75 / 90 | 72% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 xG/shot | 69% |
| Shots | 4.24 / 90 | 64% |
| Duels won | 6.75 / 90 | 58% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★½ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air.
- What Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction
Go Ahead Eagles should have more of the ball, with Excelsior likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Excelsior are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Go Ahead Eagles work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals - 1.84 for Excelsior and 1.78 for Go Ahead Eagles - with over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 70%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Excelsior 2-2 Go Ahead Eagles
Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 40%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 70% by the model, 3.62 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 70% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.2 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles: questions and answers
When is Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in Eredivisie Gameweek 12.
Where is Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles played?
At Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam, Excelsior's home ground.
Who will win Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?
It is close: Excelsior 40%, draw 23%, Go Ahead Eagles 37%. Our prediction is Excelsior 2-2 Go Ahead Eagles.
Who is the player to watch in Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Stefán Ingi Sigurdarson of Go Ahead Eagles: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 49 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.