Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor Prediction and Betting Tips | Süper Lig Gameweek 11
Süper Lig · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 10:30 UTC · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul · updated 2026-10-25
Eyüpspor welcome Kocaelispor to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu in İstanbul in Süper Lig Gameweek 11 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 10:30 UTC.
Eyüpspor have played 9 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 0.2 and conceding 2.6 goals a game and winning 11% of them. At home they average 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate. Kocaelispor have played 9 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 56% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 40% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Kocaelispor are narrow favourites at 54%, with the draw at 27% and Eyüpspor at 19%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Eyüpspor 0.81, Kocaelispor 1.56.
- Over 2.5 goals: 42% · both teams to score: 45%.
- Most likely score: 0–2 (11%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Eyüpspor: form and key numbers
In style Eyüpspor play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 0.78 a match created, 1.72 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.1).
- Shots: 11.9 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 50.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 11% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.57.
Kocaelispor: form and key numbers
In style Kocaelispor play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.23 a match created, 1.61 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.1).
- Shots: 12.8 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 48.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 44% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor: season averages side by side
| Eyüpspor | Per match this season | Kocaelispor |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 0.2 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 2.6 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 0.78 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.23 |
| 1.72 | xG conceded | 1.61 |
| 11.9 | Shots | 12.8 |
| 3.7 | On target | 4.3 |
| 50.1 | Possession % | 48.9 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 11% | Both teams scored % | 44% |
| 3.9 | Corners | 4.0 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.57 | Average rating | 6.85 |
Players to watch
Eyüpspor
- Charles-André Raux-Yao CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 28 · Dribbler, Chance creator (top 24% of his position)
- Zak Jules CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 28 · Secure passer, Blocks shots (top 12% of his position)
Kocaelispor
- Serhat Öztaşdelen GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 35 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 52% of his position)
- Berkan Kutlu CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 30 · Chance creator, Long passer (top 26% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Emir Ortakaya
Emir Ortakaya, 22 · Kocaelispor · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 37
Emir Ortakaya, 22, plays as a centre-back for Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in blocked shots and aerial duels won. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 37
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Blocked shots | 1.74 / 90 | 84% |
| Aerial duels won | 4.06 / 90 | 74% |
| Interceptions | 2.32 / 90 | 67% |
| Duels won | 6.97 / 90 | 60% |
| Clearances | 7.55 / 90 | 45% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★★ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Blocks shots.
- What Emir Ortakaya is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Emir Ortakaya's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor prediction
Eyüpspor should have more of the ball; Eyüpspor like to take players on; Kocaelispor are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals - 0.81 for Eyüpspor and 1.56 for Kocaelispor - with over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams scoring at 45%. Kocaelispor have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Eyüpspor 0-2 Kocaelispor
Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor betting tips
- Tip 1: Kocaelispor win or draw (double chance) 81% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 58% by the model, 2.37 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 7.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Süper Lig previews
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- Rizespor vs Trabzonspor Monday 26 October 2026
- Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe Monday 26 October 2026
- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray Friday 30 October 2026
- Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK Saturday 31 October 2026
- Kocaelispor vs Rizespor Saturday 31 October 2026
- Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe Saturday 31 October 2026
Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor: questions and answers
When is Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor?
Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 10:30 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 11.
Where is Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor played?
At Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul, Eyüpspor's home ground.
Who will win Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor?
Kocaelispor are the favourites: Eyüpspor 19%, draw 27%, Kocaelispor 54%. Our prediction is Eyüpspor 0-2 Kocaelispor.
Who is the player to watch in Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor?
Emir Ortakaya of Kocaelispor: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 37 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.