FC Midtjylland vs Sint-Truiden: Prediction, Stats and Preview
Europa Conference League · Thursday 22 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · MCH Arena, Herning · updated 2026-10-09
FC Midtjylland host Sint-Truiden in the Europa Conference League on Thursday 22 October 2026 at MCH Arena. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes FC Midtjylland clear favourites at 66%, puts the draw at 19% and expects about 3.4 goals.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: FC Midtjylland 2.36, Sint-Truiden 1.04.
- Over 2.5 goals: 66% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (4 and 2 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Season statistics
| FC Midtjylland | Per match this season | Sint-Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Matches | 2 |
| 2.8 | Goals scored | 1.5 |
| 0.8 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 1.92 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.99 |
| 14.8 | Shots | 16.0 |
| 7.8 | On target | 4.0 |
| 60.5 | Possession % | 55.0 |
| 50% | Clean sheets % | 50% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 6.5 | Corners | 6.0 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 3.0 |
| 7.01 | Average rating | 6.76 |
Averages per match from Sportmonks; Sint-Truiden in its domestic league.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Europa Conference League previews
- CSKA Sofia vs Monaco Thursday 15 October 2026
- Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka Thursday 15 October 2026
- Mjällby vs Inter Club d'Escaldes Thursday 15 October 2026
- KuPS vs Trabzonspor Thursday 15 October 2026
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland Thursday 15 October 2026
- Gent vs AGF Thursday 15 October 2026
- Hajduk Split vs Ajax Thursday 15 October 2026
- Lugano vs Crvena Zvezda Thursday 15 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.