Ferencvaros vs Torreense Prediction and Betting Tips | UEFA Europa League Gameweek 3
UEFA Europa League · Thursday 22 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-18
Ferencvaros welcome Torreense to Groupama Aréna in Budapest in UEFA Europa League Gameweek 3 action on Thursday 22 October 2026.
Ferencvaros have played 10 matches in UEFA Europa League this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 0.7 goals a game and winning 80% of them. At home they average 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. Torreense have played 2 matches in UEFA Europa League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 100% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Ferencvaros are clear favourites at 67%, with the draw at 20% and Torreense at 13%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.6% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Ferencvaros -1.25 at 1.83, Torreense at 2.05. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.81, under 2.05, which gives over 53%.
Ferencvaros: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.21 a match created (goals minus xG: +8.9).
- Shots: 10.8 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 46.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 40% of matches (75% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.90.
Torreense: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.84 a match created (goals minus xG: +1.3).
- Shots: 7.0 a match, 2.0 on target.
- Possession: 36.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.71.
Ferencvaros vs Torreense: season averages side by side
| Ferencvaros | Per match | Torreense |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.84 |
| 2.10 | Goals | 1.50 |
| 10.8 | Shots | 7.0 |
| 3.9 | Shots on target | 2.0 |
| 1.9 | Big chances missed | 1.0 |
| 11.9 | Tackles | 13.5 |
| 12.7 | Fouls | 13.5 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 2.5 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 10 and 2 measured matches.
Ferencvaros vs Torreense prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.79 for Ferencvaros and 0.77 for Torreense - with over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 45%. Ferencvaros have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Ferencvaros 1-0 Torreense
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Ferencvaros vs Torreense betting tips
- Tip 1: Ferencvaros to win 67% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.56 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (47%)
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 7.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Ferencvaros vs Torreense: questions and answers
When is Ferencvaros vs Torreense?
Ferencvaros vs Torreense is on Thursday 22 October 2026, in UEFA Europa League Gameweek 3.
Where is Ferencvaros vs Torreense played?
At Groupama Aréna, Budapest, Ferencvaros's home ground.
Who will win Ferencvaros vs Torreense?
Ferencvaros are the favourites: Ferencvaros 67%, draw 20%, Torreense 13%. Our prediction is Ferencvaros 1-0 Torreense.
How many goals will there be in Ferencvaros vs Torreense?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.