Telstar vs FC Utrecht Prediction and Betting Tips | Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Eredivisie · Sunday 1 November 2026 · 13:30 UTC · BUKO Stadion, Velsen · updated 2026-10-25
Telstar welcome FC Utrecht to BUKO Stadion in Velsen in Eredivisie Gameweek 11 action on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 13:30 UTC.
Telstar have played 10 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 10% of them. At home they average 1.6 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 0% win rate. FC Utrecht have played 10 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.7 goals a game and winning 30% of them. Away from home they average 1.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 67% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Telstar 42%, the draw 24%, FC Utrecht 35%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Telstar 1.81, FC Utrecht 1.64.
- Over 2.5 goals: 67% · both teams to score: 68%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 10 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Telstar: form and key numbers
In style Telstar play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.35 a match created, 2.20 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.5).
- Shots: 11.9 a match, 3.1 on target.
- Possession: 46.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 10% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
FC Utrecht: form and key numbers
In style FC Utrecht are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.42 a match created, 1.82 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.8).
- Shots: 13.8 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 46.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 90% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Telstar vs FC Utrecht: season averages side by side
| Telstar | Per match this season | FC Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Matches | 10 |
| 1.2 | Goals scored | 1.7 |
| 2.1 | Goals conceded | 2.7 |
| 1.35 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.42 |
| 2.20 | xG conceded | 1.82 |
| 11.9 | Shots | 13.8 |
| 3.1 | On target | 4.4 |
| 46.2 | Possession % | 46.1 |
| 10% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 60% | Both teams scored % | 90% |
| 4.5 | Corners | 4.1 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.73 | Average rating | 6.72 |
Players to watch
Telstar
- Ronald Koeman Jr. GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 45 · Long passer, Shot-stopper (top 3% of his position)
- Abdelnour Soualhia CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 37 · Duel winner, Dominant in the air (top 23% of his position)
FC Utrecht
- Adrian Blake LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 39 · Draws fouls, Dribbler (top 8% of his position)
- Yoann Cathline LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 38 · Crosser, Draws fouls (top 23% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Artem Stepanov
Artem Stepanov, 19 · FC Utrecht · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 41
Artem Stepanov, 19, plays as a centre-forward for FC Utrecht in the Eredivisie. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and big chances missed. Weakest in duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 41
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 37
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.31 xG/shot | 99% |
| Big chances missed | 0.00 / 90 | 90% |
| Goals | 0.80 / 90 | 68% |
| Expected goals | 0.68 / 90 | 64% |
| Shots on target | 45% | 60% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★½ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots, Rarely wastes a big chance.
- What Artem Stepanov is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Artem Stepanov's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Telstar vs FC Utrecht prediction
Telstar should have more of the ball; Telstar go long and direct; FC Utrecht are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals - 1.81 for Telstar and 1.64 for FC Utrecht - with over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 68%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Telstar 1-1 FC Utrecht
Telstar vs FC Utrecht betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 42%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 67% by the model, 3.45 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 68% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.6 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 8.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Telstar vs FC Utrecht: questions and answers
When is Telstar vs FC Utrecht?
Telstar vs FC Utrecht is on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 13:30 UTC, in Eredivisie Gameweek 11.
Where is Telstar vs FC Utrecht played?
At BUKO Stadion, Velsen, Telstar's home ground.
Who will win Telstar vs FC Utrecht?
It is close: Telstar 42%, draw 24%, FC Utrecht 35%. Our prediction is Telstar 1-1 FC Utrecht.
Who is the player to watch in Telstar vs FC Utrecht?
Artem Stepanov of FC Utrecht: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 41 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Telstar vs FC Utrecht?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.