Galatasaray vs Amed SK Prediction and Betting Tips | Süper Lig Gameweek 11
Süper Lig · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Rams Park, İstanbul · updated 2026-10-25
Galatasaray welcome Amed SK to Rams Park in İstanbul in Süper Lig Gameweek 11 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Galatasaray have played 8 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 75% of them. At home they average 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate. Amed SK have played 9 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 67% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 17% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Galatasaray 42%, the draw 25%, Amed SK 33%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Galatasaray 1.63, Amed SK 1.44.
- Over 2.5 goals: 59% · both teams to score: 62%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Galatasaray: form and key numbers
In style Galatasaray keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 2.13 a match created, 0.99 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.1).
- Shots: 22.4 a match, 7.6 on target.
- Possession: 60.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 38% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.94.
Amed SK: form and key numbers
In style Amed SK press high, play long and direct, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.73 a match created, 0.88 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.4).
- Shots: 15.8 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 47.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.9 a match.
- Discipline: 3.1 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.86.
Galatasaray vs Amed SK: season averages side by side
| Galatasaray | Per match this season | Amed SK |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 9 |
| 2.1 | Goals scored | 2.2 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 2.13 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.73 |
| 0.99 | xG conceded | 0.88 |
| 22.4 | Shots | 15.8 |
| 7.6 | On target | 5.0 |
| 60.3 | Possession % | 47.7 |
| 38% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 56% |
| 7.5 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 3.1 |
| 6.94 | Average rating | 6.86 |
Players to watch
Galatasaray
- Yunus Akgün RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 45 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 7% of his position)
- Rafael Leão LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 36 · Dribbler, High shot volume (top 18% of his position)
Amed SK
- Gift Orban CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 38 · Takes high-quality shots, Clinical finisher (top 22% of his position)
- Dia Saba AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 30 · Big-chance creator, High shot volume (top 45% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Victor Osimhen
Victor Osimhen, 27 · Galatasaray · CF · Complete forward · Moneyball Score 54
Victor Osimhen, 27, plays as a centre-forward for Galatasaray in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in shots and expected goals. Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 54
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 51
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 9.98 / 90 | 100% |
| Expected goals | 1.19 / 90 | 90% |
| Aerial duels won | 4.88 / 90 | 82% |
| Goals | 1.11 / 90 | 75% |
| Key passes | 1.77 / 90 | 59% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Complete forward Centre-forward
- ★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions, Dominant in the air.
- What Victor Osimhen is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Victor Osimhen's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Galatasaray vs Amed SK prediction
Galatasaray should have more of the ball, with Amed SK likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Galatasaray work the ball wide and cross; Amed SK go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.63 for Galatasaray and 1.44 for Amed SK - with over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 62%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Galatasaray 1-1 Amed SK
Galatasaray vs Amed SK betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 42%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 59% by the model, 3.08 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 62% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 8.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 12.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Süper Lig previews
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- Rizespor vs Trabzonspor Monday 26 October 2026
- Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe Monday 26 October 2026
- Konyaspor vs Galatasaray Friday 30 October 2026
- Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK Saturday 31 October 2026
- Kocaelispor vs Rizespor Saturday 31 October 2026
- Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe Saturday 31 October 2026
Galatasaray vs Amed SK: questions and answers
When is Galatasaray vs Amed SK?
Galatasaray vs Amed SK is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 11.
Where is Galatasaray vs Amed SK played?
At Rams Park, İstanbul, Galatasaray's home ground.
Who will win Galatasaray vs Amed SK?
It is close: Galatasaray 42%, draw 25%, Amed SK 33%. Our prediction is Galatasaray 1-1 Amed SK.
Who is the player to watch in Galatasaray vs Amed SK?
Victor Osimhen of Galatasaray: a complete forward with a Moneyball Score of 54 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Galatasaray vs Amed SK?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.