Gaziantep F.K. vs Kasımpaşa Prediction and Betting Tips | Süper Lig Gameweek 11
Süper Lig · Friday 6 November 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep · updated 2026-10-25
Gaziantep F.K. welcome Kasımpaşa to Gaziantep Stadyumu in Gaziantep in Süper Lig Gameweek 11 action on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Gaziantep F.K. have played 9 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 22% of them. At home they average 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 0% win rate. Kasımpaşa have played 9 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 44% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 75% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Gaziantep F.K. 31%, the draw 29%, Kasımpaşa 40%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Gaziantep F.K. 1.11, Kasımpaşa 1.31.
- Over 2.5 goals: 44% · both teams to score: 50%.
- Most likely score: 0–2 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Gaziantep F.K.: form and key numbers
In style Gaziantep F.K. play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.18 a match created, 1.58 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.6).
- Shots: 13.7 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 51.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Kasımpaşa: form and key numbers
In style Kasımpaşa are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.14 a match created, 1.25 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.7).
- Shots: 12.6 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 42.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.1 a match.
- Discipline: 2.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.84.
Gaziantep F.K. vs Kasımpaşa: season averages side by side
| Gaziantep F.K. | Per match this season | Kasımpaşa |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 1.18 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.14 |
| 1.58 | xG conceded | 1.25 |
| 13.7 | Shots | 12.6 |
| 3.7 | On target | 4.0 |
| 51.2 | Possession % | 42.9 |
| 22% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 56% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 4.4 | Corners | 4.1 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 2.8 |
| 6.78 | Average rating | 6.84 |
Players to watch
Gaziantep F.K.
- Kacper Kozłowski AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 32 · Big-chance creator, Secure passer (top 22% of his position)
- Alexandru Maxim AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 32 · Secure passer, Chance creator (top 15% of his position)
Kasımpaşa
- Andreas Gianniotis GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 38 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 51% of his position)
- Ali Yavuz Kol LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 25 · Dribbler, Chance creator (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Arda Kızıldağ
Arda Kızıldağ, 28 · Gaziantep F.K. · CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 37
Arda Kızıldağ, 28, plays as a centre-back for Gaziantep F.K. in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in interceptions and aerial duels won. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 37
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions | 3.05 / 90 | 88% |
| Aerial duels won | 5.16 / 90 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 1.41 / 90 | 67% |
| Duels won | 6.56 / 90 | 47% |
| Clearances | 7.50 / 90 | 44% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Box defender Centre-back
- ★★★ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- ★★ Stopper Centre-back
Scout's notes: Reads the game, Dominant in the air.
- What Arda Kızıldağ is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Arda Kızıldağ's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Gaziantep F.K. vs Kasımpaşa prediction
Gaziantep F.K. should have more of the ball, with Kasımpaşa likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Gaziantep F.K. work the ball wide and cross; Kasımpaşa go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals - 1.11 for Gaziantep F.K. and 1.31 for Kasımpaşa - with over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 50%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Gaziantep F.K. 1-1 Kasımpaşa
Gaziantep F.K. vs Kasımpaşa betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 40%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 56% by the model, 2.43 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 8.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Gaziantep F.K. vs Kasımpaşa: questions and answers
When is Gaziantep F.K. vs Kasımpaşa?
Gaziantep F.K. vs Kasımpaşa is on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 11.
Where is Gaziantep F.K. vs Kasımpaşa played?
At Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep, Gaziantep F.K.'s home ground.
Who will win Gaziantep F.K. vs Kasımpaşa?
It is close: Gaziantep F.K. 31%, draw 29%, Kasımpaşa 40%. Our prediction is Gaziantep F.K. 1-1 Kasımpaşa.
Who is the player to watch in Gaziantep F.K. vs Kasımpaşa?
Arda Kızıldağ of Gaziantep F.K.: a box defender with a Moneyball Score of 37 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Gaziantep F.K. vs Kasımpaşa?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.