Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor Prediction and Betting Tips | Süper Lig Gameweek 10
Süper Lig · Monday 2 November 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara · updated 2026-10-25
Gençlerbirliği welcome Alanyaspor to Eryaman Stadyumu in Ankara in Süper Lig Gameweek 10 action on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Gençlerbirliği have played 9 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 22% of them. At home they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. Alanyaspor have played 9 matches in Süper Lig this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 67% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Gençlerbirliği 34%, the draw 28%, Alanyaspor 38%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Gençlerbirliği 1.26, Alanyaspor 1.35.
- Over 2.5 goals: 48% · both teams to score: 54%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Gençlerbirliği: form and key numbers
In style Gençlerbirliği are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.15 a match created, 2.10 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.3).
- Shots: 12.1 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 43.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 11% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 44% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Alanyaspor: form and key numbers
In style Alanyaspor are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.06 a match created, 1.80 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.5).
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 3.6 on target.
- Possession: 43.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.81.
Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor: season averages side by side
| Gençlerbirliği | Per match this season | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 0.8 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 1.15 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.06 |
| 2.10 | xG conceded | 1.80 |
| 12.1 | Shots | 11.6 |
| 3.7 | On target | 3.6 |
| 43.3 | Possession % | 43.6 |
| 11% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 44% | Both teams scored % | 56% |
| 5.0 | Corners | 5.2 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
| 6.75 | Average rating | 6.81 |
Players to watch
Gençlerbirliği
- İrfan Can Eğribayat GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 38 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 38% of his position)
- Dimitrios Goutas CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 29 · Hard to dribble past, Box defender (top 19% of his position)
Alanyaspor
- Paulo Victor GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 36 · Box defender, Shot-stopper (top 62% of his position)
- Florent Hadergjonaj RMF · Wide playmaker · Moneyball Score 33 · Crosser, Press-resistant (top 7% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Tiago Gouveia
Tiago Gouveia, 25 · Gençlerbirliği · RWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 34
Tiago Gouveia, 25, plays as a winger for Gençlerbirliği in the Süper Lig. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and successful dribbles. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 34
- RM · Wide midfielder Natural, 34
- RW · Winger Natural, 34
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.80 / 90 | 87% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.40 / 90 | 60% |
| Key passes | 2.55 / 90 | 57% |
| Fouls won | 2.25 / 90 | 51% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.26 / 90 | 38% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★½ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Crosser.
- What Tiago Gouveia is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Tiago Gouveia's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor prediction
Gençlerbirliği should have more of the ball; both go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.26 for Gençlerbirliği and 1.35 for Alanyaspor - with over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 54%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Gençlerbirliği 1-1 Alanyaspor
Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 38%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.61 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (48%)
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.3 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 10.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor: questions and answers
When is Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor?
Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor is on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC, in Süper Lig Gameweek 10.
Where is Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor played?
At Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara, Gençlerbirliği's home ground.
Who will win Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor?
It is close: Gençlerbirliği 34%, draw 28%, Alanyaspor 38%. Our prediction is Gençlerbirliği 1-1 Alanyaspor.
Who is the player to watch in Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor?
Tiago Gouveia of Gençlerbirliği: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 34 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Gençlerbirliği vs Alanyaspor?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.